Same here -- I used to watch your polls thinking that the majority is wrong. Recently I find that the reverse is true. I also used to think that the same daily pattern cannot persist, such as a 2:30pm - 4:00pm sell-off daily. Now I find that it can keep persisting.
After a couple's fight, There is typically a happy date. Tonight is the republican/dem fight! Will tomorrow be the deal date? T. J. Poet
i hope they won't make a very ugly child. is anybody short volatility into the debt decision? what's your strategy/instrument of choice? I have some VXX bear call spreads (Aug Expiration)
snapshot: +3% 13 46.43% +2% 8 28.57% +/-1% 3 10.71% -2% 2 7.14% -3% 2 7.14% Total: 28 votes 100% regarding the question whether one could use ET poll to his advantage, what sort of bet would (or would not ) one place right here? the majority goes for 3% and i think there is a good chance they are wrong. any other takes on the poll? who believes the majority is correct? any good model predictions that match a particular vote?
once it is lifted, spy will not have a down day for the rest of eternity cos that's all that matters in the world and obama says so
The 'Debt Cieling' won't be lifted. The markets are rallying on hope and faith. We've learnt nothing from the last few years. Human beings are idiots.