On 10-case geometry and beyond

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Simples, Jul 3, 2017.

  1. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    LOL.

    With 20min to go QQQ Daily PRV is only approaching 80%!!
    Oh well... I did recognize a slight chance of failure. Plus the market is still open.

    Here's to cloudy with a chance of meatballs! LOL
     
    #241     Apr 11, 2018
    userque likes this.
  2. kaizer

    kaizer

    tiddlywinks,

    you've attached tapes.pdf as explanation how to determine container for price action but nothing regarding volume in this document. how do you use volume for estimation which channel is proper one?
     
    #242     Apr 11, 2018
  3. stepan7

    stepan7

    #243     Apr 11, 2018
  4. stepan7

    stepan7

    Possible Channels and Gaussians.

    QQQ (Daily)  1_29_2018 - 4_11_2018.jpg
     
    #244     Apr 11, 2018
  5. stepan7

    stepan7

    SPY - total mess. DIA and IWM have more clarity.
    What is common - All four exhibit strong Resistance around Yesterday's High.
    SPY (Daily)  1_24_2018 - 4_11_2018.jpg
    DIA (Daily)  1_24_2018 - 4_11_2018.jpg
    IWM (Daily)  1_3_2018 - 4_11_2018.jpg
     
    #245     Apr 11, 2018
  6. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    @kaizer
    Thanks for the question. I know my answer will sound quite rude, so heads up.
    What is in use here and being discussed is the Jack Hershey Price-Volume relationship.

    The graphic baro-san provided, answers your question (although cleaner versions of the graphic are available.)

    I refer you to this link to begin reading and studying...

    https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/spydertraders-jack-hershey-futures-trading-journal.83604/

    All the participants in this thread are extremely helpful and generous with knowledge. But, for certainly most, if not all of the participants I think I speak... There is little to no interest, to explain the prerequisite rudimentary concepts/tools of JHPV, at least not in this thread.

    To directly answer your question of "which channel is proper"... The volume sequence... B2B2R2B or R2R2B2R.

    If you do decide to study this method, beginning with the above link, and have specific questions, please feel free to ask. We really are helpful and generous. If warranted, perhaps a new thread will begin.

    Good trading to you.
     
    Last edited: Apr 11, 2018
    #246     Apr 11, 2018
    Simples and Sprout like this.
  7. kaizer

    kaizer

    @tiddlywinks ,
    your last chart amazed me to say at least, you've spot the failure to traverse in real time and posted the clear confirmation that it's possible. Probably you do such kind of analysis on daily basis. From the first glance the failure to traverse concept didn't make sence to me and looked like old H&S pattern. Which is very obvious in hindside but not in RT. Now it's clear that I overlooked the FTT and should to dig deeper. The Spidertrader's&Jack Hershey's journal will be the starting point as you advised. Again, your chart is great motivation to do it!
     
    #247     Apr 12, 2018
    Sprout and Simples like this.
  8. stepan7

    stepan7

    Treat H&S pattern as two separate JHM sequences. Or like two completed Channels.
     
    #248     Apr 12, 2018
    Simples likes this.
  9. tiddlywinks

    tiddlywinks

    @kaizer:
    Thanks very much for the kind words! I'm glad to see you have at least perused some material. More importantly to me, the fact you've taken my suggestion seriously, and my previous tone like water off a ducks back. Cool!

    Also importantly... don't think for one minute everyday is so clean cut. Here is my NQ 2min trading chart for today. IT IS A FRICKEN MESS!! I am positive containers are wrong, the gaussians are incomplete because I couldn't follow, and I have since moved over to RTY. I also operate with a more defensive mindset trading NQ when it opens with a multi-dozen point opening gap!!

    I am glad the chart postings are of use. Thanks again for the nice words.

    nqrt.jpg
     
    #249     Apr 12, 2018
    Simples likes this.
  10. stepan7

    stepan7

    Look at anemic volume (<10% magenta horizontal line) midday, It can't move price one way or another. In this case any rising/peaking volume mean end of the leg.

    4_12_2018.jpg
     
    Last edited: Apr 12, 2018
    #250     Apr 12, 2018
    Simples likes this.