Your choices of framing say a lot. For example, for group 1 you chose to include a category of: "People that share only (or mostly) facts." For group 2 you apparently chose to decide that there's no-one in group 2 who fits the above category, and came up with the more pejorative: "People that share facts or journeys into deep-underground calculations, of what could happen." And the options you decided to provide for people's motivations, apparently it never occured to you that there would be a large number of folks in group 2 have a deep and abiding concern for saving lives as their motivation? Again, the choices you decided to give your audience are pretty telling. Sounds like you're in group 1, and are using the guise of an honest question to push your position, something you may very well not even realize you've done. Maybe we should make that a group 3, people who are solidly in one group but pretending to be open minded?
You're right. That should be the group 3 and A.I fun stuff group 4. Since the driving force for the group 2 in my opinion was fear (or the ruling state of their mind, like 70% of the thought process clouded by it). That's why people consult friends / family members, during the writing process e.g book, story line and etc. The blind spots. Or maybe i would have worked out those categories more precisely, if i give more thought to it, yet it was written out of the sketch concept after a sleepless night. (not an excuse, but fact) Giving it up completely from today. A war without clear victory conditions over no Kingdom. Tho there's a benefit. Sorta improving writing skills. Who knows, maybe a next hidden passion next to drawing and finance. And you can encounter people, who can kill your arguments. Thus one grows, mentally. Also, good touch for ones ego to stay in the line.
There is plenty of data to extrapolate what the kind of death count in the US we would see if Corona was left to run rampant. In the US there are: 50 million people over the age of 65. 25 million people with morbid obesity (BMI >40). We would easily see over 1 million deaths from those 2 groups alone.
We could. We could also see far less deaths than the common flu causes in a typical year. The market could move up or down 30% in the next 6 months. I certainly hope you don't trade based on such mindless extrapolations...though I'm pretty sure many do here at ET.
I am not making a prediction. Im telling you what the smallest death count will be if 200 million people in the US were to catch this. That is not a could, that is how many people would die in that case. And 1 million dead is a best case scenario for the US. Obviously measures are being put in place to stop that many people getting infected. But it means those lock downs have to be kept in place or otherwise the death count will start creeping back up again. Over 100,000 is the confirmed US infection count at the moment, the real/unconfirmed infection count is probably more closer to 500K. It wouldn't take long to go from 500K infections to 200 million. Trump is not shutting down the economy just for shits and giggles.
Maybe group 4 should be: we don’t care. We think the old should sacrifice themselves so I can eat some Cold Stone Creamery.
You are probably wasting your time trying to convince folks about the seriousness of this. Most people can’t see it. Most don’t believe it. Just a little walk in Walmarts might open eyes as to what people think. People not staying six feet from each other. Hacking and coughing. Carrying on as if corona doesn’t exist. It appears one of the biggest fears is the fear of running out of toilet paper.
Im finding the analysis i'm doing useful for myself. Im currently thinking about if there are food shortages or people don't have money for food we will be in big trouble. Then the looting and rioting will start in the cities.