Oil sure is cheap, I don't think it can get much lower

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by Smart Money, Mar 12, 2020.

  1. old coot

    old coot

    You should consider the date of his post.
     
    #21     Mar 18, 2020
  2. bone

    bone

    April Crude traded $20.06 today.
     
    #22     Mar 18, 2020
    .sigma likes this.
  3. birdman

    birdman

    #23     Mar 18, 2020
  4. birdman

    birdman

  5. bone

    bone

    The back end of the curve is trading about $10 higher than the prompt months.
     
    #25     Mar 18, 2020
  6. Well that was fast! I think we'll see $30/barrel before too long with the right kind of press.
     
    #26     Mar 19, 2020
  7. Overnight

    Overnight

    Hell of a bounce, that is for sure.
     
    #27     Mar 19, 2020
  8. bone

    bone

    It's already there starting with Oct 20. Look at the curve. Sept 21 is trading the $35 handle.

     
    #28     Mar 19, 2020
  9. birdman

    birdman

  10. Big buyers of Jun20 WTI 5, 3, and 2 dollar strike puts came in Friday. Someone (maybe a desperate high cost producer or maybe just a crazy speculator) They were paying up (lifting the "hard offer" for these downside strikes.

    As we approach these ungodly low strikes the selling (from massive short gamma positions) will accelerate and they will be self-fulfilling purchases. So $5 WTI crude oil prices are a real possibility.
     
    #30     Mar 21, 2020