yo handjob, Oil is up from it's lows because of something called a roll gap which happened to be $9. It has just fluctuated in a range since. You couldn't trade your way out of a paper bag.
Oil can;t even rally and take out $40 on this conflict. Oil is headed lower over the coming weeks/months. Sell into any strength.
I agree oil cnat even take $40 off IT going to probably $30 $20 can be possible but it will very low in my oponion
Take $80 as the pre-bubble fair price, now demand has fallen by 7 million bpd while OPEC only cut 2 million bpd in prod, you get a supply glut. At least for a while. Now all those marginal projects are getting shut down, so just wait and see what happens when demand starts picking up again...
Gee he's really on to something - noticing oil is up in the morning, and getting all gung ho about it.
What's to be baffled about? You aren't a commodity speculator , you have no idea how commodities trade.