Here's my Bullish Call on Crude Oil on 1/17/07, one day before the bottom on 1/18/07. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=84958
Though I'm "predicting" it, my money doesn't necessarily follow. I have stop losses and profit targets when I actually trade. This is merely a subjective guesstimate based on charts, etc. Most of my trades are based on support resistance as the price of oil moves. Obviously if this breaks out of resistance, I'll be buying it up.