Oil contango means QM is a bad buy?

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by FanOfFridays, Feb 8, 2009.

  1. Translation: I give up.

    Next time, try reading the post twice before spouting off. Also, try waiting until after 5 p.m. for your first bong hit.
     
    #21     Feb 16, 2009
  2. Stosh, sorry for the digression and thanks for the comment, I'll think about that as proxy for long CL/QM.
     
    #22     Feb 16, 2009
  3. Shagi

    Shagi

    The contango remains at irrational levels, giving traders with financing and storage the ability to earn handsome, risk-free profits by taking delivery and selling deferred contracts to re-tender at a later date.

    Logic would suggest that this spread should narrow, especially given the grim economic outlook, but logical trades can backfire severely if not timed correctly (think tech or Crude Oil bubbles). Illogical situations can last months or years, making spread trading just as treacherous as trading the outright futures contract.

    Sell April Crude for quick gains
     
    #23     Feb 18, 2009
  4. Shagi

    Shagi

    and also for quick losses too.:D
     
    #24     Feb 18, 2009