Oil beginning to threaten SIFs

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by nitro, Jul 6, 2007.

  1. nitro

    nitro

    Extreme market apathy likely today and tomorrow. You could probably go to the beach and not miss a thing.

    nitro
     
    #621     Sep 30, 2008
  2. nitro

    nitro

    IBM coming to support. You want to buy it at 110. Needless to say, these are complicated markets and a downdraft may take it past your stop loss. So best to go in lightly even if you are nibbling, looking to add where you would have stopped out, and having a wider stop because your entry size is 1/2 or 1/3.

    So for example, say you wanted 100 shares at 110, with a stop loss at 106. Instead, buy 33 shares at 110, add 33 at 106, and make the stop loss at 100. Profit target at least 125, but holding it a while is not bad. When the market turns, IBM sees 140, and you collect dividends.

    nitro
     
    #622     Sep 30, 2008
  3. nitro

    nitro

    The news from GE and Warrent Buffet is being taken as good news from the market. I think it is scary. GE should be able to buy Warren Buffet five times over.

    Be very afraid. Markets in denial.

    As an investor, you have to keep your head, but this is NOT good news.

    nitro
     
    #623     Oct 1, 2008
  4. nitro

    nitro

    IBM coming in on 110. You have to buy it. It is support. You may get taken down with overall market, but discipline is discipline.

    nitro
     
    #624     Oct 1, 2008
  5. nitro

    nitro

    Filled on 110 and 106. Losing on both.

    nitro
     
    #625     Oct 2, 2008
  6. Daal

    Daal

    MRO seems like an absurd bargain. stock trading almost at book value and 3.7 multiple to cashflow
     
    #626     Oct 2, 2008
  7. nitro

    nitro

    All of the stocks I listed are bargains.

    The one that is going ballistic when this ends is HBC. Easily 100.

    nitro
     
    #627     Oct 2, 2008
  8. nitro

    nitro

    Cash DOW out of line with YM. Anything DOW totally out of line with ES and SPX. Dow should be down much more.

    Flight to quality.

    nitro
     
    #628     Oct 2, 2008
  9. nitro

    nitro

    Interesting cross currents:

    YMZ8 -30
    DOW: +48

    SPX +9
    ESZ8 + 2

    I don't know what it all means, but it can't be good.

    nitro
     
    #629     Oct 3, 2008
  10. nitro

    nitro

    VIX red with SPX decent red.

    My guess is that we slowly bleed VIX, and markets become apathetic. But that can take two weeks.

    nitro
     
    #630     Oct 3, 2008