Oil beginning to threaten SIFs

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by nitro, Jul 6, 2007.

  1. nitro

    nitro

    SPX at 1329.xx looking a bit toppy very short term (until FED announcement.) Imo, take profits and come back at 1:00 EST and reevaluate.

    Notice how badly YM is lagging...

    nitro
     
    #421     Jun 25, 2008
  2. nitro

    nitro

    I thought the FED action/language was far more dovish than I thought it would be.

    Imo, this entire summer dynamics are going to be fractal. In other words, what you see now, is what you will get most of the summer on progressively higher time frames.

    Imo, SIFs should go to 1350 short term. Then we reevaluate.

    nitro
     
    #422     Jun 25, 2008
  3. nitro

    nitro

    Look at the % gains for SIFs. They are whacked, especially YM, which is actually red!

    SIF Spreaders are beginning to consider trades here...An obvious trade is sell ES buy YM, in the right ratio. Again, may take multi-days to snap back. This is riskier than ES/NQ because YM is 30 stocks. Still...

    nitro
     
    #423     Jun 25, 2008
  4. nitro

    nitro

    I have my poles reversed a bit [late] yesterday, but I tell you imo this is not a sell on the open.

    Sheesh, YG +$30 :eek: and QM was just +$4 :eek:

    This could be a very volatile morning. Since I don't want to sell the open, and the signs are ominous, I am turning my systems leverage down 10x.


    nitro
     
    #424     Jun 26, 2008
  5. nitro

    nitro

    The market hasn't even opened and this trade is coming to roost if you took it.

    nitro
     
    #425     Jun 26, 2008
  6. nitro

    nitro

    It is worth noting that it is holding this range pre-market. Watch carefully and have holster greased, in both directions!....

    nitro
     
    #426     Jun 26, 2008
  7. nitro

    nitro

    Look at the ES DOM. It looks like the night sesssion going into Existing Home Sales. Yet, look at your time and sales, size is going off.

    Hmmmmmmmm....

    nitro
     
    #427     Jun 26, 2008
  8. nitro

    nitro

    Watch out. Next support 1292.xx. Don't buy 1300.

    nitro
     
    #428     Jun 26, 2008
  9. nitro

    nitro

    If it can't go lower, it can only go higher. They are shelling 1305, and it is holding.

    Be very careful short. Imo stand aside. I hate short here.

    nitro
     
    #429     Jun 26, 2008
  10. nitro

    nitro

    If this is intra-day bottoming action, it is close to impossible to buy imo, and I reeeeallly don't like short.

    Stand aside until clarification.

    nitro
     
    #430     Jun 26, 2008