Oil beginning to threaten SIFs

Discussion in 'Index Futures' started by nitro, Jul 6, 2007.

  1. nitro

    nitro

    I should clarify. I mean that people have been shorting the front end of the rates curve. Shorting yield, buying prices.

    nitro
     
    #181     Mar 10, 2008
  2. nitro

    nitro

    Orders are in at 1272 SPX with a 4 handle stop loss.

    If we lose 1270, we probably dive like a submarine, but odds are just too great we hold the low. If not we take the loss.

    For investors, C is within $2 of bottoming imo. This is where we start to put more than tiny shares on.


    nitro
     
    #182     Mar 10, 2008
  3. nitro

    nitro

    1315 SPX first resistance. Massive size being offered there on the DOM. If we take out this level, get the torch out.

    Then it goes to 1325 resistance and 25 SPX increments from then on.

    1420 SPX is the holy grail.

    nitro
     
    #183     Mar 11, 2008
  4. nitro

    nitro

    There was a seller(s) at 1333ish. The seller(s) is still shelling the bid with size. But note the support at 1325 SPX. When we clear the seller(s), watch out.

    Energy is not helping today which is why this is marginally plus.

    nitro
     
    #184     Mar 12, 2008
  5. nitro

    nitro

    As stated here

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=120913&perpage=6&pagenumber=1

    imo this drop is 90% based on that news. As I mention in that thread also, imo this news was known yesterday day to some. This I can tell from market action, in retrospect.

    We are nearly back to where we were when the FED made history. I doubt this breaks the camels back, but we are once again in grave danger.

    There is no such thing as a tripple bottom, at least not in classical technical analysis.

    nitro
     
    #185     Mar 13, 2008
  6. nitro

    nitro

    The short term decoupling of energy, the dollar and gold is temporary imo. It has to do with the roll over of the front month contract in oil imo.

    Be careful selling short oil. As soon as that works itself out, and it may even do that intraday today, oil can rip higher based on the move witnessed in gold and the dollar. On the negative side, there is technical resistance at 110ish.

    nitro
     
    #186     Mar 13, 2008
  7. nitro

    nitro

    If you are short SIFs here, you are in grave danger of getting run over. This goes green.

    You have been warned.

    nitro
     
    #187     Mar 13, 2008
  8. nitro

    nitro

    Ok, NQ is green, ER2 green. XLF is lagging because of the unwinding of hedge fund positions. We need XLF green.

    Now the only danger is some other hedge fund having to meet margins.

    That is no joke, it is a real possibility. The MERC is raising margin requirements, and I would not be surprised to see others follow suit.

    But that is chicken shit. BUY.

    nitro
     
    #188     Mar 13, 2008
  9. nitro

    nitro

    ES green. Get me XLF green and bounded on the downside, and get me a torch.

    nitro
     
    #189     Mar 13, 2008
  10. nitro

    nitro

    XLF green!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Oh my gawd. watch out

    nitro :eek:
     
    #190     Mar 13, 2008