In the modern Presidential era, 2 situations have remained a constant - no Repub has won the Presidency w/o winning Ohio. Currently, Romney is polling about 2-3 percentage points behind Obama and a negative for him. But also, no (FDR not withstanding) modern sitting President has been elected with the unemployment above 7.2%. Currently, reported unemployment rate for the country is 7.8% and HIGHLY unlikely to improve that much before the election (as reported in the national news - real unemployment numbers make this far worse). This is bad for Obama. So which taboo gets broken this year?