Official U.S. Presidential Election Poll #2

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Baron, Oct 31, 2024.

Who do you PREDICT will with the U.S. Presidential Election?

Poll closed Nov 6, 2024.
  1. Donald Trump

    26 vote(s)
    59.1%
  2. Kamala Harris

    18 vote(s)
    40.9%
  1. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    You often have to follow GWB's ridiculous links to find that they're mostly clickbait with nothing in them. Sometimes you find that the articles he posts run counter to his own argument. All he does is spend literally all day posting links. There's no way he could read them all.
     
    #181     Nov 8, 2024
    traderob, elderado and echopulse like this.
  2. smallfil

    smallfil

    European Union and Canadian ET trolls should focus on their own countries problems which are plenty. I will not bash your countries as I feel, you living in those countries is punishment enough. Those who throw the fascism tag on President Donald Trump do not have a clue. In the UK, a guy was sentenced by a judge to 15 years imprisonment for exercising his free speech rights. In Canada, it is now a law that they can have you arrested and jailed because what you said was deemed offensive by the political class. That is real life fascism, right in front of your eyes. President Donald Trump in his first term, did nothing of the sort. He respected everyone's rights.
     
    #182     Nov 8, 2024
    elderado, echopulse and Tsing Tao like this.
  3. Ricter

    Ricter

    What types of speech are not protected by the First Amendment?
    https://freespeech.iastate.edu/faq
     
    #183     Nov 8, 2024
  4. Ricter

    Ricter

    #184     Nov 8, 2024
    newwurldmn likes this.
  5. Amun Ra

    Amun Ra

    Statistically speaking ANYONE who is 78 years old has a 70-80% chance of living to 82. And lets be honest...Trump is not an average 78 year old man. He's active, he is sharp. The doctor was going by the average human odds and there's no evidence that Trump is going downhill. Biden has made it to 81 and Trump is in far better condition than Biden was at 78. Trump isn't falling down stairs or forgetting where he is like Biden.
     
    #185     Nov 8, 2024
    traderob and echopulse like this.
  6. Congratulations on the winning bet Sir.
     
    #186     Nov 8, 2024
    smallfil likes this.
  7. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading


    While I will disagree that Trump is in better shape than Biden at the same age. I will agree that the doctor was quoting the probabilities of anyone who was 78 making it to 82.
     
    #187     Nov 8, 2024
    Ricter likes this.
  8. Businessman

    Businessman

    Thanks! the edge on betting on US elections is that half the pollsters are biased/corrupt in favour of the democrats and against Trump.

    This means democrats are more likely to bet on their candidate than they would be if all the polls were accurate, and so that lowers the odds on Trump!

    Basically the betting market was pricing in a lot of erroneous corrupt/fake poll data. And you get a huge edge if you recognise this.
     
    #188     Nov 8, 2024
  9. Trump is obese and could deteriorate very quickly. I also think there's been obvious signs of cognitive decline. You can tell he gets lost at times when he starts repeating the same thing over and over.
     
    #189     Nov 8, 2024
  10. spy

    spy

    I'd like to see Diane Morgan do a "Philomena Cunk on the 2024 election" docu-skit. She usually kills it.
     
    #190     Nov 8, 2024