Tennessee is more important than Texas in terms of Senate control, if Dems win there, they win all the other close races.
Dems getting the senate is a very high bar because this is a traditionally republican year in terms of the map. I don’t have much hope in Tennessee because the dem candidate is basically a Republican.
A Manchin Dem is still a Dem, they vote strategically. Final Poll results in Kansas have 2 (of 4) house seats and the governorship leaning Dem. Senate hopes are not over yet, small chance but possible.
No doubt I’d rather have Bredesan than Blackburn but the way he ran doesn’t work historically. But you never know he could get swept in with anti Trump sentiment alone. Kansas is a crazy disaster. It’s a shame what republicans have done to that state.
I am here to tell you that its going to tell you that per the polls and 538 its going to be very close. https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1202a2The2018Midterms.pdf The abc poll on Nov. 1. said Dems led by 8. Their sample of registered voters was 33-27-34 percent among registered voters, Democrats-Republicans-independents. 538 blog... states... That Democrats are favored to win a majority of seats if they win the popular vote by at least 7.2 points. The final politico poll has the dems at 43 to Republicans 40 with 18 percent undecided. And if I were a democrat I know that the majority of that 18 percent just does not want to say Republican in public. So when you couple the most recent polls with 538's info the race in the margins for house control. It truly will be all about turnout. Will one side outperform the poll models? https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/#lite
Sherrod Brown is walking around +9 in Ohio according to the polls. If he breaks 10 in the swingiest of swing states, hold on to your hats.
only fools predict the market direction and I ain't one, but I can guarantee that %50 of the country will very pissed off by the end of the day tomorrow