Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2007

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Art Collins, Dec 30, 2006.

  1. Art's futures biases for Nov 7.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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    The day-of-month indicator has just flipped from bullish-to-bearish, nudging the overall index calendar indicators to the sell side. This dovetails with a majority of the either-or indicators. The verdict is that we've done an about-face and should see stock market selling pressure on Wednesday.
     
    #351     Nov 6, 2007
  2. Art's futures biases for Nov 8.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
     
    #352     Nov 7, 2007
  3. Art's futures biases for Nov 9.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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    Expect renewed upside action in the indices for Friday.
     
    #353     Nov 8, 2007
  4. Art's futures biases for Nov 12.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
     
    #354     Nov 9, 2007
  5. Art's futures biases for Nov 13.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    ______________________________________________

    All major Czar sectors are urging index longs for Tuesday.
     
    #355     Nov 12, 2007
  6. Art's futures biases for Nov 14.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    ______________________________________________

    Both major signal categories are urging sells across the bond complex for Wednesday.
     
    #356     Nov 13, 2007
  7. Art's futures biases for Nov 15.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    ______________________________________________

    Was Tuesday's stellar rally for real or mere whistling past the graveyard? Certainly, there are a number of fundamental bearish scenarios one could advance. That's not really my area of expertise, but I must say, I like the way the CzarCharts are lining up in favor of the "another shoe is going to drop" argument. In the face of--among other things-- near-$100 crude, a collapsing dollar, and a sub-prime crisis, it just feels better to be bearish.
    But again, feelings have no place in the mechanical universe. I will be shorting the indexes on Thursday because the CzarCharts are now firmly in the sell camp.
     
    #357     Nov 14, 2007
  8. Art's futures biases for Nov 16.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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    The best bet for Friday is the upside of the currency complex.
     
    #358     Nov 15, 2007
  9. Art's futures biases for Nov 16.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    ______________________________________________

    According to the CzarCharts, Monday should see renewed upside action in the indices. The best buy opportunity should prove to be the S&Ps.
     
    #359     Nov 16, 2007
  10. Art's futures biases for Nov 20.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    ______________________________________________

    In accordance with the less-frequent and calendar biases, the recent oversold condition and the stock market tendency to rally around holidays, I will be buying the S&P and Russell on Tuesday with a fair amount of confidence.
     
    #360     Nov 19, 2007