Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2007

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Art Collins, Dec 30, 2006.

  1. Art's futures biases for Mar 30.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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    The index indicators continue to insist on an upmove. We're seeing strong affirmation in every broad signal category.
     
    #131     Mar 29, 2007
  2. Art's futures biases for April 2.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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    Although recent volatility has been obscuring any clear-cut stock market direction, the immediate trend seems to be more up than down-oriented. For Monday, the calendar biases are again unanimous and other two major signal categories both net out to the upside as well. The best bet is to buy the Russell.
     
    #132     Mar 30, 2007
  3. himself

    himself

    Art-

    You seem to have reposted the march 39th numbers by mistake.
     
    #133     Mar 30, 2007
  4. Art's futures biases for Apr 2.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    ___________________________________________

    Although recent volatility has been obscuring any clear-cut stock market direction, the immediate trend seems to be more up than down-oriented. For Monday, the calendar biases are again unanimous and other two major signal categories both net out to the upside as well. The best bet is to buy the Russell.
     
    #134     Mar 30, 2007
  5. Art's futures biases for Apr 3.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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    I’m going to avoid the predominantly-bullish signals in the indexes because of the dissenting less-frequent sell readings in the second box. A better bet for Tuesday would be to follow the uncontested buy flashes in the bond complex, particularly the 10-year notes.
     
    #135     Apr 2, 2007
  6. Art's futures biases for Apr 4.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
     
    #136     Apr 3, 2007
  7. Art's futures biases for Apr 5.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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    It’s probably a good thing that the CzarCharts tend to pull in their horns roughly proportionately to how trading in general dries up. We have a holiday-shortened week, small ranges, and little enthusiasm anywhere. Tack an extra day onto your extended weekend. Hopefully, we’ll get something we can sink our teeth into for Monday.
     
    #137     Apr 4, 2007
  8. Art's futures biases for Apr 9.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

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    For Monday, expect downside action in the currencies, particularly the euro.
     
    #138     Apr 6, 2007
  9. Art's futures biases for Apr 10.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    ______________________________________


    The best bet for Tuesday is the upside of the bond complex, particularly the 30-year. Today's deciding votes are generated in the second box of less-frequent indicators, namely cup bottoms and two-day open-to-close fade signals.

    We are also overdue for a stock market correction. Today marks the seventh consecutive higher Dow close. The reversal may happen as early as Tuesday, but I'm holding off until I can get confirming CzarChart signals.
     
    #139     Apr 9, 2007
  10. Art's futures biases for Apr 10.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    ______________________________________


    For Wednesday, both the continental currencies are flashing buys across both broad signal groups.

    As for these paltry index performances of late, there is still no perceivable clear-cut direction. I’m reasonably assured, however, that the next uni-directional move, be it up or down, will be significant. We’re in a coiling environment, a textbook harbinger of imminent follow-through. Ideally, the move will wait until the signals line up better.
     
    #140     Apr 10, 2007