Art's futures biases for Feb 23. A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias. ________________________________ The bond complex urges longs in both major signal groups across all three markets. The best bet for Friday is the 30-year. Note the unanimous +6 buy reading in either-or category.
Art's futures biases for Feb 26. A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias. ______________________________ The bond complex continues to indicate longs across both signal groups in all three markets. Expect further upside action on Monday.
Art's futures biases for Feb 27. A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias. ----------------------------------------------------------------------- You canât keep the good of U.S. of A. stock market down for long, and by George, the CzarCharts are now affirming that our two or three day market "break" is likely over. The Russell presents Tuesdayâs probable best buying opportunity.
I want to thank everyone that provided kind feedback following my New York seminars. I'm just getting stuff in order now, so hopefully I'll be again replying to emails and thread rejoinders in timely fashion. Jaxon wrote "The bond complex continues to indicate longs across both signal groups in all three markets. Expect further upside action on Monday. " -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- good call X2. You have my attention. Many were negative after Thursday's down day. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you Jax. I have to in good conscience remind everyone that I'm also wrong two or more days in a row, although I continue to maintain faith in the overall outcomes of the CzarChats. But thanks for your interest Jaxon, and again, ditto to everyone else who has responded lately.
Art's futures biases for Feb 28. A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias. ___________________________________________ The CzarChart readings were spectacularly wrong for Tuesdayâs crash, but I wonât get overly-dramatic with my mea culpas. I have to assume that whoever is using these readings, or any other for that matter, have got prudent money-management methodologies in place. In other words, Tuesday was merely one for the L column for all practical purposes. Obviously, we are suddenly in the kind of hyper-environment we havenât seen for years, so youâre forgiven if you decide not to risk such volatility on Wednesday. If youâre hard-core though, the CzarCharts are still insisting on an up-move. It would have its greatest chance of success coming off sharply lower openings, which we may well see considering the possibility of further Asian overnight carnage. Just remember that wherever you are in the trading day, conditions can change quickly and dramatically. Donât trade unless you have some solid plan in place other than the mere CzarChart readings.
Art's futures biases for Mar 1. A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias. _____________________________________________ The best play for Thursday is the short side of the bond complex. Aside from the CzarChart readings, the complex is overdue for a correction. Tuesdayâs mini stock crash can be viewed according to one of two different historic scenarios. Scenario One is that it fits that of âmeaningfulâ corrections such as Black Monday and 9-11. The days immediately following both were volatile with ferocious moves and counter-moves pressuring both sides of the trading card. The other model is that of the isolated day followed by little more than business-as-usual. There are too many examples of these to even remember. The UAL debacle of 1989. The Russian coup attempt of 1990. Some weirdo left field day in March of, I believe, 2000 when the market dropped over 600 points intra-day and then recovered significantly by the close. Fear was rampant in the Scenario One aftermaths. In the second scenario, it was all but forgotten by the next day. Iâm anything but a perma-bull. (Anyone in the Trader Insight war room knows my cynicism). I donât believe a market can continue on its merry way month after month without corrections. I just donât regard the fundamentals behind this particular drop as particularly significant and the Day After reaction was not typical of a freaked-out environment. Besides, the CzarCharts continue to be overall bullish. (Ahh, the real crux of my feelings!) It would not be unreasonable to follow the majority-upward bias on Thursday.
Interesting crash observations Art...thanks for those. I see that our friend the Russell 2000 is not showing great bias for tomorrow.....today's action was somewhat choppy, and totally back-and-forth, but net-net, it was weak as heck.
7:45 update. sheesh....! i guess on the other hand, i could be dead wrong about the "no continued tremor" comment. the probable sharply lower opens increase the chances that there will be upward open-to-close action. unfortunately, sharply lower opens also raise the possiblity that something is wrong out there and that if the projections do fail, they may well do so in spectacular fashion. strap on your seat belts and observe extreme caution.
Art's futures biases for Mar 2. A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias. __________________________________________ Ok, so Iâm obviously wrong about the significance of Tuesdayâs melt. Apparently itâs a closer match to a 9-11 or Black Monday category than the one-day only declines I mentioned yesterday. Look at it this wayâthe CzarCharts arenât really urging much. Iâve noticed other volatile times sending the signals into similar hibernation mode, but admittedly, that might be merely anecdotal. Only the continental currencies are showing any bias for Friday, and that's to the downside. Remember though, it's never a disgrace to stand aside.