Odds Czar: Simple Biases in the Futures Markets 2005

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Art Collins, Oct 16, 2005.

  1. Here are my futures biases for December 5.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long (L) bias. A negative sum will be a short (S) bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral (0) bias.
     
    #141     Dec 4, 2005
  2. Here are my futures biases for December 6.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long (L) bias. A negative sum will be a short (S) bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral (0) bias.
     
    #142     Dec 5, 2005
  3. Here are my futures biases for December 7.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long (L) bias. A negative sum will be a short (S) bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral (0) bias.
     
    #143     Dec 6, 2005
  4. As an ex software guy I do think mechanical systems can and do work but I would not say it is a prerequisite of success as empirical evidence to the contrary of many many famous and successful discretionary ones.
     
    #144     Dec 6, 2005
  5. m millar wrote
    Art,

    Thanks for sharing this. It's great to see a thread on Elite remain civilised.

    I haven't looked in detail yet but I just have some initial questions...

    What kind of stops are you using on your performance reports? Is this just buy at open/sell at close?

    Also, in the peformance report above (from the last post on this page) , the profit per trade is only $40, which is less than 1 tick on the full-sized Naz (which for a system trader makes it untradeable). Are you just using this as a guide to say "I'm in the right direction" rather than as a 'system'?

    Thanks

    [/quote]

    hey m--
    all i've been showing to date are percentage plays--basic building blocks that have not yet been combined into definitive systems. i'm hoping that if someone is planning on being, say, short the yen, while the bias might not abort their diecision or methodology, it will serve as another tool for decision making. it can't hurt to know that bonds on a given day have a +5 rating, and that each component within that figure stands on its own historically--it tends to make more money than it loses, and combined, the results are even better.
    hope i've stated this clearly. (i'm buried under a lot of work right now, trying to meet a tight deadline on my next book)
     
    #145     Dec 7, 2005
  6. Here are my futures biases for December 8.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long (L) bias. A negative sum will be a short (S) bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral (0) bias.
     
    #146     Dec 7, 2005
  7. Here are my futures biases for December 8.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long (L) bias. A negative sum will be a short (S) bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral (0) bias.
     
    #147     Dec 8, 2005
  8. Here are my futures biases for December 12.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long (L) bias. A negative sum will be a short (S) bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral (0) bias.
     
    #148     Dec 11, 2005
  9. Here are my futures biases for December 13.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long (L) bias. A negative sum will be a short (S) bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral (0) bias.
     
    #149     Dec 13, 2005
  10. Bsulli

    Bsulli

    Art, I have followed the thread since the start and just wanted to say thanks for taking the time to do it.

    Good luck and good trading.

    Bsulli
     
    #150     Dec 13, 2005