Odds Czar: Simple Biases In the Futures Market: 2008

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Art Collins, Dec 31, 2007.

  1. hi art

    any chance you will post numbers for crude oil or gold this yr ?

    all the best

    setharb
     
    #111     Apr 23, 2008
  2. swiss franc
     
    #112     Apr 23, 2008
  3. Art's futures biases for April 24.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    _____________________________________

    see previous 9 entries for 2007-08 results for either-or indicators
     
    #113     Apr 23, 2008
  4.  
    #114     Apr 24, 2008
  5. Art,

    Thank you for posting your results.

    They confirmed your mechanical system's recommendation (as discussed in detail in your book) continued. My interpretation is to use it only to trade the ES (or ER2), with the others used merely as a confirmation of the theory. Interestingly, the currencies are not giving this confirmation.

    Any comments?
     
    #115     Apr 24, 2008
  6. windsurfer wrote
    Art,

    Thank you for posting your results.

    They confirmed your mechanical system's recommendation (as discussed in detail in your book) continued. My interpretation is to use it only to trade the ES (or ER2), with the others used merely as a confirmation of the theory. Interestingly, the currencies are not giving this confirmation.

    Any comments?
    -------------------------------------------
    it definitely works best in the indices, as do most other mechanical ideas, particularly intraday ones. the euro showed a pretty good profit if memory serves me.
    at any rate, i appreciate you investigating this.
    art
     
    #116     Apr 24, 2008
  7. A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.

    _____________________________________

    According to the CzarCharts, we should see continued strength in the indices on Friday. The currencies are also flashing buys.
     
    #117     Apr 24, 2008
  8. Hi Art,

    Although the euro was positive last year, it and the other 2 currencies are still negative when you include the 2006 results. For the last 12 months, the euro was plus $5k, the yen negative $5k and the Swiss negative $2k.

    I estimate that assuming a $20 RT cost (commissions and slippage), the ES has averaged a net profit of about $4k per year per contract. Trading the full SP contract, this would be better than $20k per year.

    Any comments?
     
    #118     Apr 25, 2008
  9. windsurfer wrote
    Hi Art,

    Although the euro was positive last year, it and the other 2 currencies are still negative when you include the 2006 results. For the last 12 months, the euro was plus $5k, the yen negative $5k and the Swiss negative $2k.

    I estimate that assuming a $20 RT cost (commissions and slippage), the ES has averaged a net profit of about $4k per year per contract. Trading the full SP contract, this would be better than $20k per year.

    Any comments?
    _______________________
    Yes. Keep up the good work!
     
    #119     Apr 25, 2008
  10. Art's futures biases for April 28.

    A "1" means bullish bias. A "-1" means bearish bias. The total is the sum of biases. A positive sum will be long bias. A negative sum will be a short bias. A sum of zero will be a neutral bias.
     
    #120     Apr 25, 2008