October = bear-market killer, or will carnage continue?

Discussion in 'Trading' started by KCalhoun, Oct 1, 2022.

October markets will:

  1. Sell hard

    5 vote(s)
    22.7%
  2. Major recovery

    3 vote(s)
    13.6%
  3. Headfake bounces, selling continues

    14 vote(s)
    63.6%
  1. GotherL

    GotherL

    Hopefully, that would be the best case scenario for me to salvage some of my badly timed option calls.

    Well at least, the futures market didn't selloff immediately so we may just be heading in that direction.
     
    #21     Oct 2, 2022
  2. smallfil

    smallfil

    Looking for a huge rally to short the downtrend. Until the trend changes, bias is still down. My best positions are my short positions which should not come as a surprise.
     
    #22     Oct 2, 2022
  3. GotherL

    GotherL

    Spoke too soon...

    Futes down big and doesn't even look close to scratching the surface.
     
    Last edited: Oct 2, 2022
    #23     Oct 2, 2022
  4. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    50C517F3-DB2E-47B5-830C-4CDB8EF96E2C.png
     
    #24     Oct 2, 2022
  5. Radiohead

    Radiohead

    Where did this forward-looking chart come from? I could see something similar happening before down downtrend resumes. I was thinking it would hit 4000 earlier, though, and I would be surprised if January is as bullish as that chart predicts.
     
    #25     Oct 3, 2022
  6. ph1l

    ph1l

    It looks like a projection of the pattern from early April to mid August with the daily price ranges increased and the cycle starting again from mid August.
     
    #26     Oct 3, 2022
    Sekiyo likes this.
  7. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    January - March resembles April - August
    Maybe April - August will resemble the 3rd leg.
     
    #27     Oct 3, 2022
  8. GotherL

    GotherL

    Looks like the market shifted direction when everyone thought there was gonna be more blood to spill on Monday.

    Major recovery or overextended bear rally.
     
    #28     Oct 3, 2022
  9. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    Ka Ching Ka Ching
     
    #29     Oct 4, 2022
  10. Radiohead

    Radiohead

    I've made plenty of guesses before that didn't hold up but this one from 10/1 was pretty good. The question is what the market does now and if it actually hits major resistance at 400. Seems like the market has some steam and there's a number of converging potential resistance prices including the 200MA, if it blows through them then that could mark a major change in the direction of the market (which could also be going from a bear market to a flat market).
     
    #30     Nov 11, 2022