Observations (an example)

Discussion in 'Journals' started by fortydraws, Jan 13, 2015.

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  1. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    That's not quite what I was looking at, but it's one route to take. By the time price reached that level, the target was actually 60.
     
    #241     Feb 25, 2015
  2. Ged

    Ged

    Right, I wasn't looking at the channel high, or anything else, but just making the observation of what seems to me an interesting fact. We may yet go above 4461, somewhat nullifying my observation, but I tend to believe in relationships more than coincidences.
    Ged
     
    #242     Feb 25, 2015
  3. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    Shall I give a downside target or would that be showing off?;)
     
    #243     Feb 25, 2015
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  4. boru

    boru

    27?
     
    #244     Feb 25, 2015
  5. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    It's all at TL. I don't want to cause any trouble here. :)
     
    #245     Feb 25, 2015
  6. Ged

    Ged

    I observe that the mean between today's high, 4461, and the present low of day, 4429.25, is 4445, and that 4445 is also the mean of the overnight market.
    Ged
     
    #246     Feb 25, 2015
  7. fortydraws

    fortydraws

    May Soybeans again. The dotted green channel "came into existence" yesterday. I am not sure it is needed to supplant the original channel in solid blue as price did exactly what one would have anticipated based on how overbought it was relative to that channel, and today's bounce commenced from the mean of the original channel. As this is all part of the observation process, I will keep both for now, and will monitor further price activity.

    Journal 90.JPG
     
    #247     Feb 25, 2015
  8. dbphoenix

    dbphoenix

    You may want to read the explanation I just gave to Gamera at TL about all this.
     
    #248     Feb 25, 2015
    fortydraws likes this.
  9. 40D

    This is my reading of today's story. Starting with the daily, then hourly. Look anything like your trading?
    Screenshot - 2_25_2015 , 6_32_03 PM.png
     
    #249     Feb 25, 2015
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  10. fortydraws

    fortydraws

    "The end result of all this is that one begins to realize that it is buyers who are in charge throughout. It is they who decide whether or not they're going to buy and how much they're going to pay. If there are no buyers, there are no trades, and everything comes to a screeching halt. No sellers? There are always sellers, if the price is right. This is incidentally a lesson which a great many economists have not learned, much less business and government leaders." DbPhoenix

    This has really captured my attention. This is what I am working on now. I have some ideas as to how I might want to explore this further using price/volume on stocks. I'd like to keep this journal focused on SLA/AMT and day trading the NQ and possibly some futures swing trading over a somewhat larger time frame (using hourly/4 hour bar intervals for trades lasting for sever days). So I may, if I think I can get somewhere with this, start a separate journal for the above idea relating it to individual stock issues so this journal doesn't get too cluttered and too long and too off-topic too quickly.

    Dang it, DbPhoenix, if you didn't start me off to thinking thoughts and such enough to make my head spin (in a good way, though) o_O
     
    #250     Feb 25, 2015
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