only on the economy and stock market recovering into his third year. Even with the stimulus if the market doesn't rebound he's gone. If the market and economy rebounds he'll certainly win. The only upside of the stock market and economy failing is the enjoyment from listening to the right wing rip him to pieces. If palin runs in 2012 and Obama screws up it will be the funniest election ever. That's why I kinda want to see Obama fail.