Obama holds big 2012 lead over Republicans

Discussion in 'Politics' started by AK Forty Seven, Jun 9, 2011.

  1. Obama holds big 2012 lead over Republicans

    By John Whitesides Wed Jun 8, 1:58 pm ET

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) – President Barack Obama retains a big lead over possible Republican rivals in the 2012 election despite anxiety about the economy and the country's future, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll on Wednesday.

    Obama's approval rating inched up 1 percentage point from May to 50 percent but the number of Americans who believe the country is on the wrong track also rose as pricier gasoline, persistently high unemployment and a weak housing market chipped away at public confidence.

    Obama leads all potential Republican challengers by double-digit margins, the poll showed. He is ahead of his closest Republican rival, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, by 13 percentage points -- 51 percent to 38 percent.

    "Obama's position has gotten a little stronger over the last couple of months as the public mood has evened out, and as an incumbent he has some big advantages over his rivals," Ipsos pollster Cliff Young said.

    "Until Republicans go through a primary season and select a nominee, they are going to be at a disadvantage in the head-to-head matchups in name recognition."

    Obama, who got a boost in the polls last month with the killing of al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, is amassing an election campaign warchest likely to be larger than the record $750 million he raised in 2008.

    Sarah Palin and Romney lead the Republicans battling for the right to challenge Obama in the November 2012 election.

    Palin, the party's vice presidential nominee in 2008, had the support of 22 percent of the Republicans surveyed. The former governor of Alaska has not said whether she will run for president next year.

    Romney, who failed in a 2008 presidential bid, had 20 percent support.

    Representative Ron Paul, a libertarian Republican from Texas, and former pizza executive Herman Cain were tied for third with 7 percent each.
  2. rc8222



    Rasmussen Poll from 6/7/11: Generic Republican Candidate 45%, Obama 42%!!!!!!! :D

    Generic Republican Candidate 45%, Obama 42%
    Tuesday, June 07, 2011

    For the second week in a row, a generic Republican candidate edges President Obama 45% to 42% among Likely U.S. Voters in a hypothetical 2012 election matchup, according to a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey.

    Three percent (3%) favor some other candidate, and 10% remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

    In weekly surveys since the beginning of May, support for both the president and a generic Republican have remained in the narrow range of 42% to 45%. Rasmussen Reports will provide new data on this generic matchup each week until the field of prospective Republican nominees narrows to a few serious contenders.

    Interestingly, however, while 54% of voters view Obama as qualified to be president, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is the only Republican 2012 hopeful that a sizable number of voters considers qualified for the White House. Forty-nine percent (49%) say Romney is qualified to be president.

    (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

    The national survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted May 30-June 5, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 2 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

    In every matchup tested so far this year against potential GOP challengers, the president’s support has stayed between 42% and 49%. An incumbent who earns support below 50% is generally considered politically vulnerable. The president’s total job approval ratings are a good indicator of what percentage of the vote he may earn in the 2012 presidential race. Aside from a brief bounce in support following the killing of Osama bin Laden, Obama’s approval ratings have hovered in the high 40s for the past 18 months. The president earns support from 79% of Democrats, while 84% of GOP voters favor a generic Republican candidate. Voters not affiliated with either political party are evenly divided.

    Among men, the generic Republican holds an eight-point advantage over Obama, while the two candidates are almost tied among women. Those under the age of 40 heavily favor the incumbent, while their elders support the Republican candidate. Middle-income voters give the nod to the generic GOP candidate.

    Fifty-two percent (52%) of white voters back the Republican. Most blacks (96%) and the plurality (44%) of voters of other races favor Obama.

    A majority of voters continue to feel that tax cuts and decreases in government spending will help the U.S. economy. But most voters believe government spending will increase under the Obama administration, and only seven percent (7%) think their taxes will go down on his watch.

    Most voters continue to favor repeal of the national health care law passed last year and believe the legislation will increase the federal deficit.

    As they have since June 2009, Republicans lead Democrats on the weekly Generic Congressional Ballot.
  3. Yes, because the generic renamed Barack has been a roaring success.
  4. rc8222


    Just wait. Rick Perry is coming soon. :p
  5. I'll admit he has a better shot then Trump :p
  6. Mav88


    Does it matter anymore?
  7. Lucrum


    No Matter What

    "Can President Obama be defeated in 2012? No. He can't. I am going on record as saying that President Barack Obama will win a second term.

    The media won't tell you this because a good election campaign means hundreds of millions (or in Obama's case billions) of dollars to them in advertising.

    But the truth is, there simply are no conditions under which Barack Obama can be defeated in 2012.
    The quality of the Republican candidate doesn't matter. Obama gets reelected. Nine percent unemployment? No problem. Obama will win. Gas prices moving toward five dollars a gallon? He still wins. The economy soars or goes into the gutter. Obama wins. War in the Middle East ? He wins a second term.

    America's role as the leading Superpower disappears? Hurrah for Barack Obama! The U.S. government rushes toward bankruptcy, the dollar continues to sink on world markets and the price of daily goods and services soars due to inflation fueled by Obama's extraordinary deficit spending? Obama wins handily.

    You are crazy Williams. Don't you understand how volatile politics can be when overall economic, government, and world conditions are declining? Sure I do.

    And that's why I know Obama will win. The American people are notoriously ignorant of economics. And economics is the key to why Obama should be defeated.

    Even when Obama's policies lead the nation to final ruin, the majority of the American people are going to believe the bait-and-switch tactics Obama and his supporters in the media will use to explain why it isn't his fault. After all, things were much worse than understood when he took office.

    Obama's reelection is really a very, very simple math problem. Consider the following:

    1) Blacks will vote for Obama blindly. Period. Doesn't matter what he does. It's a race thing. He's one of us,

    2) College educated women will vote for Obama. Though they will be offended by this, they swoon at his oratory. It's really not more complex than that,

    3) Liberals will vote for Obama. He is their great hope,

    4) Democrats will vote for Obama. He is the leader of their party and his coat tails will carry them to victory nationwide,

    5) Hispanics will vote for Obama. He is the path to citizenship for those who are illegal and Hispanic leaders recognize the political clout they carry in the Democratic Party,

    6) Union members will vote overwhelmingly for Obama. He is their key to money and power in business, state and local politics,

    7) Big Business will support Obama. They already have. He has almost $1 Billion dollars in his reelection purse gained largely from his connections with Big Business and is gaining more everyday. Big Business loves Obama because he gives them access to taxpayer money so long as they support his social and political agenda,

    8) The media love him. They may attack the people who work for him, but they love him. After all, to not love him would be racist,

    9) Most other minorities and special interest groups will vote for him. Oddly, the overwhelming majority of Jews and Muslims will support him because they won't vote Republican. American Indians will support him. Obviously homosexuals tend to vote Democratic. And lastly,

    10) Approximately half of independents will vote for Obama. And he doesn't need anywhere near that number because he has all of the groups previously mentioned. The President will win an overwhelming victory in 2012."

    Edit: it just came to my attention that this was not written by the author I originally attributed it to. Although the content of the article is obviously still true.
  8. I don't think all these people love Obama,they just like republicans less

    Obama may extend the Bush tax cuts,but republicans like Palenty and and Paul Ryan wants to make taxes even lower then the current Bush tax rates

    Obama may cut medicare,but republicans want to turn it into a coupon program at the mercy of insurance companies

    Obamacare is pure shit,but at least it ends some of the insurance companies biggest abuses etc

    This is why Obama will be re elected imo ,not because people love Obama
  9. This myth needs to end.

    Clinton,Gore and Kerry all got 90 % + of the black vote,its not a race thing
    #10     Jun 9, 2011