NumberZ Day Trading Journal

Discussion in 'Journals' started by NumberZ, Oct 11, 2021.

  1. maxinger

    maxinger


    My entry price 2233.

    Your entry price was better (based on Brooks').
    But you have to test your system over many years
    and see if it works.

    I don't follow the books.
    don't believe what the books say.
    after you read the books, you have to develop your own trading strategy.
     
    #11     Oct 11, 2021
    Leob and toon like this.
  2. toon

    toon

    Your entry price is not comparable to Max's. Your entered a short trade, while his would be a long trade.
     
    #12     Oct 11, 2021
  3. Handle123

    Handle123

    Am little lost on how you draw your "wedges", though perhaps I might be most rigid.
    But I use this, if you are interested.

    Pattern Index (thepatternsite.com)

    Good luck on your journal.
     
    #13     Oct 12, 2021
  4. NumberZ

    NumberZ

    Please look again. I entered short and then REVERSED to long. My long entry was almost 7 points lower than Mr Max's [2226.4 vs 2233]

    My actual, albeit SIM, entries and exits are clearly marked on all charts I posted. Thank you for reading my journal.
     
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2021
    #14     Oct 12, 2021
  5. NumberZ

    NumberZ

    In one of his early videos Brooks says he considers any three tests a form of a wedge. He does say that many of the "wedges" based on his criteria will not look like "traditional" wedges.

    My purpose here is to do my best to learn and apply what Brooks teaches in his course. Thank you for your comment and the link to the website. I'll keep it in my back pocket for now. I really want to give this Brooks Trading Course a fair try.
     
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2021
    #15     Oct 12, 2021
  6. NumberZ

    NumberZ

    Brooks says he has been trading over 30 years. Why would I have to spend many years reinventing the wheel? If the stuff in the Brooks course is accurate, shouldn't I expect to become a profitable trader too?

    There are professional traders trading for professional trading firms, aren't there? Do these firms give new hires YEARS to become profitable? I can't imagine that these firms let a guy sit there losing money year after year waiting for them to test and develop a profitable system just "to see if it works."

    Thank you for reading my journal.
     
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2021
    #16     Oct 12, 2021
  7. NumberZ

    NumberZ

    9:49 and my Ninjatrader is "frozen"

    No data since right after the open.

    The connection light is "green" but nothing is coming through.

    Just logged on to my Think or Swim Account. That confirms the market did open lol.
     
    #17     Oct 12, 2021
  8. NumberZ

    NumberZ

    Not going to work for me today. All kinds of problems. Uninstalled/reinstalled and made me enter my credentials again. When loaded my workspace was gone, SIM account reset to $100K, no notes on chart.

    Will spend what time I have left today trying to get ready to resume tomorrow. Probably going to use a laptop going forward.
     
    #18     Oct 12, 2021
  9. volpri

    volpri

    @NumberZ Glad to see you doing a journal. While such patterns as wedges ..triangles ..pb's trend lines...etc are embedded in what Brooks teaches not every wedge has the SAME probability of succeeding. That is important to understand. This is WHY a lot of traders give up on trading such patterns or they will say 50/50 chance of it working or not working.

    You might wish to be cognizant that larger context has a lot to do whether or not a patterns succeeds as it is postulated to succeed. For instance, a wedge top in a tight and steep bull channel that started with a spike, even though a wedge top is made and one expects a move south, it will likely fail, and a trader will see one wedge top after the other. Shorting them is a losing strategy.

    Even if the channel is not that tight and one expects price to head south and it doesn't then Brooks calls these sort of things the "unexpected event." This can happen when one see a wedge top at the top of of say a trading range. One is expecting price to head south. Instead there is a successful BO of the TR. Anytime the unexpected happens then Brooks looks for a measured move likely 2 legs of movement in the unexpected direction.

    So, I pay close attention to the larger context (where price is at in the phase of the channel cycle) i.e. where the pattern is located within that larger context and I pay attention to the immediate bar by bar context (who is winning bulls or bears?) AND when the unexpected happens I go with the unexpected direction and try to get a measured move. At least I try to capture the second leg.

    I don’t know if you have gotten far enough into listening to brooks to have heard of the “unexpected” happening and what to do when that happens.

    And remember the market is uncertain. Not random but uncertain. We operate in a 60/40 band. At time we have a 70% chance and at very rare times a 90% chance of a trade succeeding.

    Just thought you might find this interesting or helpful.

    Here is an example of wedge wedge top after the other failing:

    30BC56DC-F739-4C03-9C9B-FE473444B48F.jpeg
     
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2021
    #19     Oct 12, 2021
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  10. volpri

    volpri

    That first wedge in my snapshot above is actually composed of a spike (on a larger TF it would appear as a 1 or two bar spike wedge i.e. the first 6 bull bars in this first wedge shown here). Shorting after that spike there was a PB then a resumption of the trend causing the larger wedge shown on the chart and labeled as the first failed wedge. Since a wedge is a 3 push pattern if you look you will see a smaller wedge nested within the larger first wedge shown. It starts at the end of the spike then the PB followed by a second push up which is followed my another PB then a third push up. A nested wedge.

    Larger context: some sort TR (bottom left of the chart) BO via the spike. Then a PB and that is where a bull channel starts. The intermediate context is the wedge patterns. A larger one with a smaller nested one. The immediate context is only two bear bars in the last 15 bull bars. Tails on bottom of bars. Gaps between close of one bar and the close of the previous bars and between the highs of bars and close and highs..etc. This is too much buying pressure to consider shorting the wedge top. Any PB is likely to be minor and not a reversal from the top of a wedge top.
     
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2021
    #20     Oct 12, 2021
    NumberZ and Relentless like this.