Numbers

Discussion in 'Financial Futures' started by nitro, Oct 13, 2005.

Where will ZN end up by YE?

  1. >5%

    12 vote(s)
    27.9%
  2. 4.75 - 5.0%

    10 vote(s)
    23.3%
  3. 4.50 - 4.75%

    13 vote(s)
    30.2%
  4. < 4.50 with an inverted YC

    8 vote(s)
    18.6%
  1. KS96

    KS96

    An inverted yield curve isn't trouble; it's actually bullish for stocks, as long as it remains inverted.
    The problem begins when it crosses from inverted to normal again. Then it's time to sell stocks.
     
    #51     Sep 28, 2006
  2. moo

    moo

    Do you have some study on this?

    Last time the curve inverted in 2000, I remember stocks started to have a lot of trouble before the curve uninverted back.
     
    #52     Sep 28, 2006
  3. nitro

    nitro

    USD Core PCE Price Index m/m, actual 0.2%, forcasted at 0.1%.

    Further evidence that this economy is buring the candle at both ends. Bond futures prices backed off immediately, but they are now recovering off lows and yields are now "amazingly" going back lower.

    SIFs couldn't give a shit and appear to be trading far into the future of all this news. Markets can stay "irrational" longer than I can stay solvent.

    nitro
     
    #53     Sep 29, 2006
  4. forecast was 0.2% on bloomberg fyi
     
    #54     Sep 29, 2006
  5. nitro

    nitro

    Sorry you are correct. I was looking at previous and confused it with forecast.

    nitro
     
    #55     Sep 29, 2006