Note to Romney

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Sep 26, 2012.

  1. It didn't slow the birthers from posting when they were proven wrong, so I doubt being wrong on a voting prediction will stop anyone from posting. I can make a strong prediction on the results where I live, Romney wins big in west Texas.
     
    #21     Sep 26, 2012
  2. jem

    jem

    its not bush... because we are not going to spend more... and because we are not going to borrow more.

    its an almost perfect plan.
     
    #22     Sep 26, 2012
  3. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Because they were never really proven wrong, as there was no finality. IE, you can't truly prove that something which doesn't exist, doesn't exist. There's no finish line on that.

    It's just not the same thing. And don't mistake me for supporting that cause.
     
    #23     Sep 26, 2012
  4. Tsing Tao

    Tsing Tao

    Info like this is what makes me wonder if you guys aren't just a tad too comfortable with the polling:

     
    #24     Sep 26, 2012
  5. Some people thinks he's winning :)
     
    #25     Sep 26, 2012
  6. jem

    jem

    Romney is winning.
    http://unskewedpolls.com/

    Poll Date Sample MoE Obama(D) Romney(R) Spread
    UnSkewed Avg. 9/4 - 9/20 -- -- 44.0 51.8 Romney +7.8
    Reason/Rupe 9/13 - 9/17 787 LV 4.3 45.0 52.0 Romney +7
    Reuters/Ipsos 9/12 - 9/20 1437 LV 2.9 44.0 54.0 Romney +10
    NBC News/WSJ 9/12 - 9/16 736 LV 3.6 44.0 51.0 Romney +7
    Monmouth Univ. 9/13 - 9/16 1344 LV 2.5 45.0 50.0 Romney +5
    QStarNews 9/10 - 9/15 2075 3.0 44.0 55.0 Romney +11
    NY Times/CBS News 9/8 - 9/12 1162 LV 3.0 44.0 51.0 Romney +7
    Democracy Corps 9/8 - 9/12 1000 LV 3.1 43.0 52.0 Romney +8
    Fox News 9/9 - 9/11 1056 LV 3.0 45.0 48.0 Romney +3
    Wash. Post/ABC News 9/7 - 9/9 826 LV 4.0 45.0 52.0 Romney +7
    CNN/ORC 9/7 - 9/9 875 RV 3.5 45.0 53.0 Romney +8
    IBD/CSM/TIPP 9/4 - 9/9 808 RV 3.5 41.0 50.0 Romney +9
    ARG 9/4 - 9/6 1200 LV 3.0 43.0 53.0 Romney +10
     
    #26     Sep 26, 2012
  7. BSAM

    BSAM

    Oh my, brother Wild, we are knee deep in dookie, if this is true.
     
    #27     Sep 26, 2012
  8. jem

    jem

    great post... Tsing.

    and its why you have to unskew the polls.

    Can you imagine Florida going D-9 when polls show Obama has lost 15% of the jewish vote?

    Florida is going R plus 3 (at least) and Romney will get more Independents.




    -------
    from Tsing...

    If you're going to believe the polls released from CBS/New York Times this morning -- you know, the polls the media's currently using to beat Romney senseless and to depress Republican enthusiasm, you have to believe that the turnout advantage for Democrats over Republicans will blow away every previous record and common sense.

    It's that simple. Because these polls are not only telling us that Romney is losing OH, PA, and FL by insurmountable margins; these polls are also telling us that Democrat turnout is projected to blow away every modern record.

    But these media polls don't headline what they're seeing as far as the Democrat turnout advantage because no one would believe it. In fact, no one believes Obama will match the D+7 nationwide advantage he enjoyed in 2008. And no one certainly believes he will surpass it.

    Oh, except this non-stop litany of media polls being wielded like weapons by the corrupt media.

    Here are the CBS/New York Times internals. And here's the con the CBS/NYTs is attempting to pull:

    Florida:

    In 2004 the vote was R+4.

    In 2008 the vote was D+3

    CBS/NYTs is reporting that in 2012 we will see D+9.



    Ohio:

    In 2004 the vote was R+5

    In 2008 the vote was D+8

    CBS/NYTs is reporting that in 2012 we will see D+9



    Pennsylvania:

    In 2010 the vote was D+3

    In 2008 the vote was D+7

    CBS/NYTs is reporting that in 2012 we will see D+9.

    -

    Again, why won't the media report the dramatic news that Democrats are expected to turnout in record numbers against Republicans?

    Because the media doesn't believe it.

    And yet, that's exactly what media polls claim will happen.
     
    #28     Sep 26, 2012
  9. BSAM

    BSAM

    Brother Mash, are saying that there aren't enough old white men to carry Romney to the oval office?
     
    #29     Sep 26, 2012
  10. BSAM

    BSAM

    I hear you, brother Tao and I do feel your pain, but we are in the top of the 9th and this thing ain't looking good.
     
    #30     Sep 26, 2012