Not yet a failed state, Malaysia is decaying rapidly

Discussion in 'Economics' started by themickey, Sep 13, 2021.

  1. themickey

    themickey

    https://asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Not-yet-a-failed-state-Malaysia-is-decaying-rapidly

    Opinion
    Not yet a failed state, Malaysia is decaying rapidly
    Affirmative action policies have entrenched a crony capitalist system

    Imran Shamsunahar September 10, 2021
    [​IMG]
    City skyline in Kuala Lumpur: Malaysia's system of heavy state intervention coupled with its adherence to the Malay privilege has created distorted markets primed to serve the needs of a small Malay elite. © Reuters

    It is never a good sign when your fellow Malaysians are seriously debating whether your country has become a failed state.

    The country is currently undergoing its cruelest wave of COVID-19, already having surpassed a record 24,000 daily cases. Its health care system is teetering, suicide rates have spiked and citizens had at one point taken to waving a white flag from their window to request basic foodstuffs and rent money. Economically, Malaysia has been caught in the so-called middle-income trap for at least a decade.

    In the midst of these travails has been an almost complete dearth of leadership at the top, with the current administration of Prime Minister Ismail Sabri Yaakob comprising Malaysia's fourth government in the span of three years.

    Malaysia had undergone more than 17 months of political dysfunction since March 2020, when the then-multiracial Pakatan Harapan coalition under former Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamed was brought down through the defection of MPs to form a new coalition with opposition parties organized exclusively for the Malay Muslims, who comprise the majority of the populace.

    [​IMG] A man who lost his job amid Malaysia's coronavirus restrictions hangs a white flag to seek help outside his home in Kuala Lumpur on July 5. © Reuters

    The collapse of Pakatan Harapan can be attributed in part to Malaysia's highly racialized political culture, an ugly byproduct of the New Economic Policy, or NEP, one of Malaysia's most consequential policies passed some 50 years ago. Following race riots in 1969, the Malaysian government passed the NEP in July 1971 as a way to reduce poverty and restructure glaring economic imbalances between the so-called Bumiputra, an administrative term for the Malays and Indigenous peoples meaning "sons of the soil," and non-Bumiputras.

    Initially intended as a short-term policy, the NEP laid the foundations for a never-ending series of affirmative action policies targeting the Malays. Thirty percent of corporate equity was to be reserved for the Malays, while quotas were established in many professions. Government licenses and contracts were also to be reserved for Malay businesses, normally channeled through Malaysia's ubiquitous government-linked companies, or GLCs.

    To be sure, there were successes. For many Malays, such as my father, the NEP was their avenue to the middle class. The Malay share of the total middle class jumped from 12.7% in 1971 to 27% in 1990.

    However, Bumiputra-dominated states remain the poorest in Malaysia, as a large chunk of government assistance under the NEP was ultimately channeled to well-connected Malay businessmen rather than the deserving poor, creating a crony capitalist system where a Malay elite class subsisted off government rent.

    Malaysia's entrenched cronyism has ultimately been a detriment to the well-being of average Malaysians, who have seen an artificial rise in their cost of living. Corrupt practices within supply chains often increase the price of goods and services for consumers, whether through higher costs of doing business or reduced marketplace competition.

    Practices of favoritism in government procurement have also led to a degradation of public institutions, including schooling and government agencies, forcing many to go for costlier private alternatives.

    Beyond the economic cost, the NEP ultimately had a corrosive impact on the larger social fabric of Malaysia. Relations between the races in Malaysia deteriorated as non-Bumiputras resented being hobbled from birth when it came to university admissions, government scholarships and housing.

    In response to this system of institutionalized discrimination, thousands of non-Malays have since emigrated abroad to countries such as Singapore and Australia, bleeding Malaysia of vital capital and skills.

    Concurrently, a whole generation of Malays born in the NEP era came to see these privileges as an unquestionable birthright, egged on by Malay elites eager to preserve the patronage system that sustained them. This could be seen, for example, through Mahathir's persistent claims that the Malays were poor due to their inherent "laziness," utilizing a colonial-era trope to justify continued government intervention.

    Among Malaysian pundits, there is increasing recognition that the NEP is past due for reforms, if not to be replaced entirely with a needs-based policy to support the most vulnerable regardless of ethnicity. While acknowledging the real increase in the Malay middle class, 50 years of institutionalized racism in Malaysia has ultimately fostered a culture of crony capitalism, an unproductive rentier class and inflated costs of living.

    Ultimately, Malaysia's system of heavy state intervention, coupled with its adherence to a system of Malay privilege, has created distorted markets primed to serve the needs of a small Malay elite. This system has stifled productivity growth, cursing Malaysia's manufacturing sector with an overdependence both on cheap migrant labor, to the detriment of advancing local technological capabilities, as well as on foreign capital with little technological diffusion.

    Malaysia's underdeveloped industrial base is symptomatic of the country's premature deindustrialization, as local and foreign investors have over time shifted from manufacturing to service sectors such as property development, logistics and financial services.

    Despite this, no administration in power has sought to challenge this status quo, fearful of angering the electorally vital swing vote of peninsular Malays fearful of losing their preferential system. Not a failed state, but a decaying one for sure.
     
  2. So Lebanon yesterday, Malaysia today... Are states failing by alphabetical order?
     
    gkishot and Axon like this.
  3. VicBee

    VicBee

    Malaysia's situation should be an example of the consequence of policies favoring the dominant group over those deemed non indigenous.
     
  4. zdreg

    zdreg

    You posted one of my favorite subjects order in randomness.
     
  5. ‌ This is what happens when the people entrusted with governance are never on the same page.
     
    zdreg likes this.
  6. xandman

    xandman

    Very general and ambiguous social critique. No hard data.

    The Malaysians are ready to to pick up the manufacturing for factories that move out of China. They have the resources and a functioning capital market. You also find Singaporeans and Malaysians move fluidly between their borders.

    In spite of having many devout Muslims, they have an open mind to Western culture. I don't believe they have any radicalized elements in society of any significance. The people are chill. Food is incredible. Terribly underrated people.

    Top exports, rubber and copper, are minting money.
     
    Last edited: Sep 13, 2021
  7. zdreg

    zdreg

    Let's look at it if Malaysia is practical. What is their relationship to Israel? Look at Turkey blabbing anti-Israel sentiments. Yet they have all kinds of commercial and tourist exchange with Israel. What about Malaysia's relationship with Israel?

    Malaysia has much to gain from Israeli medical and agricultural expertise.
     
    Last edited: Sep 13, 2021
    gkishot and xandman like this.
  8. tsznecki

    tsznecki

    Malaysia is the most progressive of the Muslim countries at least in that part of the world but you vastly overestimate the underlying social fabric issues. @VicBee is the only one in this thread so far that truly understands the issue.

    If the country was >70% Malay, it would actually regress and no amount of China offshoring would stop that.
     
  9. Interesting. Visited KL about a decade ago and was underwhelmed.
     
  10. Looking at the chart a short EWM doesn't seem unreasonable.
     
    #10     Sep 13, 2021