Not very volatile

Discussion in 'Trading' started by ADX_trader, Sep 20, 2002.

  1. my only qualm with pct vol is that you are forced to take on more shares.....so all things being equal - ie the same pct vol as now with higher share prices - so that with the same share size, i get more bang for my buck, in volatility terms..
     
    #11     Sep 20, 2002
  2. Kymar

    Kymar

    30-day volatility is a rather misleading measure, at least as far as day-tradability is concerned, as it includes some high-range days grouped together near the beginning of the "lookback" period.

    Volatility and range have both been trending down rather sharply over the period: If you compare the short-term average range and short-term volatility to longer-term measures, the relationships are near extremes - i.e., very recent ranges and volatility are very low compared to somewhat longer-term averages on major indices.

    It's clear on the SPX:
     
    #12     Sep 21, 2002
  3. Kymar

    Kymar

    but even more dramatic on the NDX, where we just put in, on Friday, the lowest range non-holiday session since '98 (in total points, not in percentage terms).
     
    #13     Sep 21, 2002