Not 97% but .3% of Climatologists agree.

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Sep 16, 2013.

  1. Scientific organizations endorsing the consensus

    The following scientific organizations endorse the consensus position that "most of the global warming in recent decades can be attributed to human activities":

    American Association for the Advancement of Science
    American Astronomical Society
    American Chemical Society
    American Geophysical Union
    American Institute of Physics
    American Meteorological Society
    American Physical Society
    Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
    Australian Bureau of Meteorology and the CSIRO
    British Antarctic Survey
    Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences
    Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society
    Environmental Protection Agency
    European Federation of Geologists
    European Geosciences Union
    European Physical Society
    Federation of American Scientists
    Federation of Australian Scientific and Technological Societies
    Geological Society of America
    Geological Society of Australia
    Geological Society of London
    International Union for Quaternary Research (INQUA)
    International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics
    National Center for Atmospheric Research
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    Royal Meteorological Society
    Royal Society of the UK
    The Academies of Science from 19 different countries all endorse the consensus. 13 countries have signed a joint statement endorsing the consensus position:

    Academia Brasiliera de Ciencias (Brazil)
    Royal Society of Canada
    Chinese Academy of Sciences
    Academie des Sciences (France)
    Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina (Germany)
    Indian National Science Academy
    Accademia dei Lincei (Italy)
    Science Council of Japan
    Academia Mexicana de Ciencias (Mexico)
    Russian Academy of Sciences
    Academy of Science of South Africa
    Royal Society (United Kingdom)
    National Academy of Sciences (USA) (12 Mar 2009 news release)
    A letter from 18 scientific organizations to US Congress states:

    "Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research demonstrates that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver. These conclusions are based on multiple independent lines of evidence, and contrary assertions are inconsistent with an objective assessment of the vast body of peer-reviewed science."
    The consensus is also endorsed by a Joint statement by the Network of African Science Academies (NASAC), including the following bodies:

    African Academy of Sciences
    Cameroon Academy of Sciences
    Ghana Academy of Arts and Sciences
    Kenya National Academy of Sciences
    Madagascar's National Academy of Arts, Letters and Sciences
    Nigerian Academy of Sciences
    l'Académie des Sciences et Techniques du Sénégal
    Uganda National Academy of Sciences
    Academy of Science of South Africa
    Tanzania Academy of Sciences
    Zimbabwe Academy of Sciences
    Zambia Academy of Sciences
    Sudan Academy of Sciences
    Other Academies of Sciences that endorse the consensus:

    Australian Academy of Science
    Royal Society of New Zealand
    Polish Academy of Sciences
     
    #31     Oct 5, 2013
  2. NASA



    Ninety-seven percent of climate scientists agree that climate-warming trends over the past century are very likely due to human activities,1and most of the leading scientific organizations worldwide have issued public statements endorsing this position. The following is a partial list of these organizations, along with links to their published statements and a selection of related resources.


    AMERICAN SCIENTIFIC SOCIETIES
    Statement on climate change from 18 scientific associations
    "Observations throughout the world make it clear that climate change is occurring, and rigorous scientific research demonstrates that the greenhouse gases emitted by human activities are the primary driver." (2009)2
    AAAS emblem
    American Association for the Advancement of Science
    "The scientific evidence is clear: global climate change caused by human activities is occurring now, and it is a growing threat to society." (2006)3
    ACS emblem
    American Chemical Society
    "Comprehensive scientific assessments of our current and potential future climates clearly indicate that climate change is real, largely attributable to emissions from human activities, and potentially a very serious problem." (2004)4
    AGU emblem
    American Geophysical Union
    "The Earth's climate is now clearly out of balance and is warming. Many components of the climate system — including the temperatures of the atmosphere, land and ocean, the extent of sea ice and mountain glaciers, the sea level, the distribution of precipitation, and the length of seasons — are now changing at rates and in patterns that are not natural and are best explained by the increased atmospheric abundances of greenhouse gases and aerosols generated by human activity during the 20th century." (Adopted 2003, revised and reaffirmed 2007)5
    AMA emblem
    American Medical Association
    "Our AMA ... supports the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s fourth assessment report and concurs with the scientific consensus that the Earth is undergoing adverse global climate change and that anthropogenic contributions are significant." (2013)6
    AMS emblem
    American Meteorological Society
    "It is clear from extensive scientific evidence that the dominant cause of the rapid change in climate of the past half century is human-induced increases in the amount of atmospheric greenhouse gases, including carbon dioxide (CO2), chlorofluorocarbons, methane, and nitrous oxide." (2012)7
    APS emblem
    American Physical Society
    "The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring. If no mitigating actions are taken, significant disruptions in the Earth’s physical and ecological systems, social systems, security and human health are likely to occur. We must reduce emissions of greenhouse gases beginning now." (2007)8
    GSA emblem
    The Geological Society of America
    "The Geological Society of America (GSA) concurs with assessments by the National Academies of Science (2005), the National Research Council (2006), and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007) that global climate has warmed and that human activities (mainly greenhouse‐gas emissions) account for most of the warming since the middle 1900s." (2006; revised 2010)9


    SCIENCE ACADEMIES
    International academies: Joint statement
    "Climate change is real. There will always be uncertainty in understanding a system as complex as the world’s climate. However there is now strong evidence that significant global warming is occurring. The evidence comes from direct measurements of rising surface air temperatures and subsurface ocean temperatures and from phenomena such as increases in average global sea levels, retreating glaciers, and changes to many physical and biological systems. It is likely that most of the warming in recent decades can be attributed to human activities (IPCC 2001)." (2005, 11 international science academies)10
    USNAS emblem
    U.S. National Academy of Sciences
    "The scientific understanding of climate change is now sufficiently clear to justify taking steps to reduce the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere." (2005)11


    U.S. GOVERNMENT AGENCIES
    USGCRP emblem
    U.S. Global Change Research Program
    "The global warming of the past 50 years is due primarily to human-induced increases in heat-trapping gases. Human 'fingerprints' also have been identified in many other aspects of the climate system, including changes in ocean heat content, precipitation, atmospheric moisture, and Arctic sea ice." (2009, 13 U.S. government departments and agencies)12


    INTERGOVERNMENTAL BODIES
    IPCC emblem
    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
    “Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.”13

    “Most of the observed increase in global average temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely* due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations.”14

    *IPCC defines ‘very likely’ as greater than 90 percent probability of occurrence.


    OTHER RESOURCES
    List of worldwide scientific organizations
    The following page lists the nearly 200 worldwide scientific organizations that hold the position that climate change has been caused by human action.
    http://opr.ca.gov/s_listoforganizations.php




    http://climate.nasa.gov/scientific-consensus
     
    #32     Oct 5, 2013
  3. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    This is NOT a survey. It is their interpretation of their publication and citation data. NOT a survey. Do you know the difference?

    The only survey showing a 97% result is Doran/Zimmerman after they narrowed their dataset to a mere 77 'climatologists' to find 75 who supported AGW for the 97% figure.
     
    #33     Oct 5, 2013
  4. The Weather Channel


    More than a century's worth of detailed climate observations shows a sharp increase in both carbon dioxide and temperature. These observations, together with computer model simulations and historical climate reconstructions from ice cores, ocean sediments and tree rings all provide strong evidence that the majority of the warming over the past century is a result of human activities. This is also the conclusion drawn, nearly unanimously, by climate scientists.


    http://www.weather.com/encyclopedia/global/
     
    #34     Oct 5, 2013
  5. Our approach was also similar to that taken by James Powell, as illustrated in the popular graphic below. Powell examined nearly 14,000 abstracts, searching for explicit rejections of human-caused global warming, finding only 24. We took this approach further, also looking at implicit rejections, no opinions, and implicit/explicit endorsements.

    [​IMG]

    We took a conservative approach in our ratings. For example, a study which takes it for granted that global warming will continue for the foreseeable future could easily be put into the implicit endorsement category; there is no reason to expect global warming to continue indefinitely unless humans are causing it. However, unless an abstract included (either implicit or explicit) language about the cause of the warming, we categorized it as 'no position'.

    Note that John Cook also initiated a spinoff from the project with a survey of climate blog participants re-rating a subset of these same abstracts. However, this spinoff is not a part of our research or conclusions.




    [​IMG]
     
    #35     Oct 5, 2013
  6. "Now what was that fool jerm babbling about this time?"


    Of all the people who ever made fun of jerm (rightfully) only 0.3% of them worded it exactly like the above. LOL
     
    #36     Oct 5, 2013
  7. Mercor

    Mercor

    Climates have era's. Temperatures change subtly and also change dramatically.
    Causes are all from nature. ( I am including man as part of nature).

    What are the pros and cons of warming temperatures?

    Over history, warming temperatures have greatly help Mankind become the most successful species on earth.
    One example: warming has allow agriculture to be more successful in more temporal zones. With out that Mankind could not support its population.
     
    #37     Oct 5, 2013
  8. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    Both of these charts have been totally been debunked in previous discussions. The most amusing is the Abstracts pie chart where it is easy to find hundreds of abstracts and papers online that do not support human-caused global warming.

    Don't you get tired of recycling the same old fabricated nonsense?

     
    #38     Oct 5, 2013
  9. Sorry you are deluded..Those other papers do no such thing. They are purported to, but they don't. I showed that the last time this came up. Do you ever get tired of saying the same demonstrably wrong things?

    The recent consensus project study just confirms the older study of the climate paper consensus.


    Try reading the science from authoritative sources and you may get the real picture. But you won't/can't do that. I suggest NASA or NOAA. NASA and NOAA says that it's 97% consensus. Gee, who should we believe? Anthony Watts? Or NOAA? Only an idiot would reject NASA and NOAA and accept what the paid for whore Watts and the fossil fuel denier machine put out. So of course you and jem do.

    And again, there is no, as in none, as in zero, science organizations in the world that rejects the consensus opinion.



    As I said before. The denial of the science of AGW (and evolution) by the Republicans is perhaps the best single indicator of how deluded and stupid they are.
     
    #39     Oct 5, 2013
  10. It's the rate of the warming that is the big problem.

    Heat waves kill more people than all other weather events combined.

    The rapidly warming planet means loss of species and degraded ecosystems. Kiss the old growth forests goodbye. Rising sea levels and worsened storms will afflict the coasts. Heat waves and droughts and static weather systems will cause harm to agriculture. Melted glaciers will mean no more water for certain areas of the earth. Hurricane Sandy was a taste of what's to come.

    On balance the coming GW and associated changes will certainly do far more harm than good.

    Is it the end of the world? No. But it will certainly reduce the carrying capacity of the earth and quality of living for humans in the future. That is why AGW deniers are being immoral. Their stubborn, ignorant, ideologically warped stance, and the resulting inaction, will result in deaths. There is no doubt about it. What's ironic is that many of these same people are supposedly Christian.
     
    #40     Oct 5, 2013