No such thing as Noise fallacy

Discussion in 'Trading' started by DarkerthanDarc, Apr 17, 2025.

  1. There's a reason people seem to use the Private Message facility to discuss trading strategies. Today learnt why.

    I'll let others ignorance and trolling (Sekiyo and Drawdown) prevail in this Thread.
     
    Last edited: Apr 18, 2025
    #21     Apr 18, 2025
  2. panzerman

    panzerman

    You can model price as a complex signal with additive noise, or model price as noise itself, pink noise to be specific. Either way, that leads you to solutions from the field digital signals processing (DSP). John Ehlers is the man whose work you want to read in this regard.

    Technical Papers
     
    #22     Apr 18, 2025
    DarkerthanDarc and Sekiyo like this.
  3. MarkBrown

    MarkBrown


    where did you come from very refreshing to see some of your post - intelligent life is out there.

    my seti was just about wore out, lol
     
    #23     Apr 18, 2025
  4. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    Time.
     
    #24     Apr 18, 2025
  5. Things move on Fundamentals. You've got to use Fundamentals to calculate it prpoperly.

    Probably beyond the scope of a pure Technical traders.

    Yeah, I've read ALL the T.A. books, Probably more than most here, but that won't produce the correct result.
     
    #25     Apr 18, 2025
  6. deaddog

    deaddog

    Things move on how investors interpret the fundaments.
    TA shows that.
     
    #26     Apr 18, 2025
    DarkerthanDarc likes this.
  7. I've done the Research, with regard to Futures and Stock Indexes. I can draw almost exact parallels betweens the Fundamentals instos are obviously watching and basing decisions on.
    With respect, you've traded longer than me, but I've probably researched longer.
     
    #27     Apr 18, 2025
  8. deaddog

    deaddog

    If research equaled returns academics would be much better traders.
    Experience has taught me what works for me.
     
    #28     Apr 18, 2025
    DarkerthanDarc likes this.
  9. Instos aren't basing decisions on pure TA. Yes some Algos obviously are, but things move on Fundamentals.

    As AI improves that'll get better too.
     
    #29     Apr 18, 2025
  10. deaddog

    deaddog

    How many instos are outperforming the S&P?
     
    #30     Apr 18, 2025
    DarkerthanDarc likes this.