Niederhoffer thinks "follow the trend" sucks

Discussion in 'Trading' started by GloriaBrown, Jun 18, 2015.

  1. Sorry. Wrong thread. Meant for the taleb thread. Mods, please move. Thanks. surf
     
    #251     Jun 24, 2015

  2. If you’re
    going to speculate, you have to go for
    the win. You can’t try to be a middler.
    Eventually, the house will grind
    you into oblivion. Of course, Las Vegas
    loves it when you have these
    Martingale† systems that give you small
    wins with a high probability and a large
    loss with a small probability, because
    they know they can grind you into
    oblivion.
    The worst thing to do is to bet on the
    favorite to show, because you have the
    racetrack take plus you have the
    breakage, which they’re taking.

    V. 19:4 (70-80): Interview: Victor B. Niederhoffer by John Sweeney
     
    Last edited: Jun 24, 2015
    #252     Jun 24, 2015
    marketsurfer likes this.
  3. Brilliant, thanks for posting! surf
     
    #253     Jun 24, 2015
  4. Last edited: Jun 25, 2015
    #254     Jun 25, 2015
  5. #255     Jun 25, 2015
  6. romik

    romik

    There is really no point trying to prove anything to brother Surf, I also know folks within commercial banking and some of them share the same attitude, they consider any form of speculative trading to be gambling, main reason being they failed to establish any sort of sustainable edge, hence their strong opinions, wouldn't barge even if shown positive equity curve.
     
    #256     Jun 25, 2015
  7. #257     Jun 25, 2015
  8. Well, even non TA'ers understand that you telling nonsense (like most posters here understand it). Icahn proved it. He followed the trend.

    It is funny that you are very selective in your reactions, to some posting you react, but if the posting hearts to much you skip it: http://www.elitetrader.com/et/index...w-the-trend-sucks.292363/page-16#post-4140147
     
    #258     Jun 25, 2015

  9. You are another victim of hindsight bias and retrospective distortion. Don't you get it? Trend only exists in the past---

    Im sure Icahn will find humor in your post-- i'll forward it to him.

    surf
     
    #259     Jun 25, 2015
  10. Kinda like a guy whose avatar is a $ sign on his chest like supermarket dollar saver man or something? Geeeez, talk about ego. :D
     
    #260     Jun 25, 2015