Niederhoffer thinks "follow the trend" sucks

Discussion in 'Trading' started by GloriaBrown, Jun 18, 2015.

  1. barcadia

    barcadia

    trend turned down on nq
    short 4535
    stop at 4538
     
    #161     Jun 22, 2015
  2. barcadia

    barcadia

    stopped for -3 ; buyers came in to change the trend.
    Supply outweighted by demand.
    Trade the behaviour of market participants
     
    #162     Jun 22, 2015
  3. Butterball

    Butterball

    That's like saying running a restaurant chain is an inferior way of making money (compared to running a business in another industry). Yes that is how dumb your argument is. Your statement is very revealing as you are biased to typical black and white thinking.

    'my methodology is best, all other methodology is inferior'
     
    #163     Jun 23, 2015
  4. romik

    romik

    Countertrend trading has no statistical edge over trend followers as there are too many variables involved to establish any sort of superiority of one over the other. That statement sucks. Markets are driven by sentiment, which can be countertrend or with a trend.
     
    #164     Jun 23, 2015


  5. This is nothing but old wives tales and platitudes.

    what tests have you conducted to make that statement with such authority? Obviously you never have.

    We ( my old employer) ran tests on the largest database of stock market trades available at the time, it was determined, without a doubt, that stocks have greater odds of advancing after 3-5 down days than after a series of up closes.

    .




    surf
     
    Last edited: Jun 23, 2015
    #165     Jun 23, 2015
  6. Here is one example Proving going against the short term trend is superior behavior with a chart so you can follow along

    image.jpg
     
    #166     Jun 23, 2015
  7. romik

    romik

    Pointless debate. Can't believe you don't understand it.
     
    #167     Jun 23, 2015
  8. Do you even know the definition of "trend following" ?
    surf
     
    #168     Jun 23, 2015
  9. Butterball

    Butterball

    'Greater odds of adancing' means nothing. You're confusing probability with expectancy, typical beginner mistake.

    Hint: If probability was all that mattered then we could all get rich selling options because 90% of them expire worthless.
     
    #169     Jun 23, 2015
  10. romik

    romik

    Do you even know the definition of countertrend?

    You are one arrogant pompous git. Feel sorry for your other half, if you got one that is.
     
    #170     Jun 23, 2015