Basically I'm frustrated like a lot of traders, so here is my new trading strategy. It isnt logical, it isnt fancy.... its really just a wild experiment..... looking for comments about could this work, or how it could be improved... Basic premise: #1 I do not know if the market is going to go up or down #2 My risk management is HORRIBLE #3 Go with the trend..... Strategy: -Starting at 9:00 AM Central time Case1: YM Above 20 SMA -Flip a coin, if heads enter long at market -Set hard stop of 10 YM points -Set hard profit target of 18 YM points Case 2: YM below 20 SMA -Flip a coin, if heads enter short at market -set hard stop of 10 YM points -set profit target of 18 YM points if in either case the coin does not land on heads, wait 30 minutes and repeat. Any thoughts on how badly this system would do? The Ym typically makes moves bigger than 10 pts... so assuming that you have 50/50 shot of the trade going in yoru direction, if its wrong you lose 10 pts if right you make 18.... this assumes that Ym generally moves at least 18 pts when it makes a sizeable move. If "go with the trend" is infact correct... then by doing the filter of over/under a moving average should give you a better than 50/50 chance of being right.... I know, I know this method is nuts.... i'm frustrated enough to try it!