New Hampshire Predictions

Anyone want to predict the vote shares/order of the candidates in today's NH primary?

 

I will.

McCain 30%
Romney 29%
Huckabee 14%
Paul 12%
Guliani 10%
Thompson 5%

Obama 41%
Hillary 32%
Edwards 21%
Richardson 6%

 

I don't think Clinton gets over 30%.

 

So far it looks like she's gonna get 40%!!! Who woulda thought. Doesn't look like the independents came through for Obama. Seems many of them stayed with McCain.

 

Well I kinda missed the Dem side. Pretty close on the GOP side though.

Their performance relative to my predictions:

McCain +7%
Romney +3%
Huckabee -3%
Paul -4%
Guliani +1%
Thompson -4%

Clinton +7%
Obama -4%
Edwards -4%
Richardson -1%

I think the deciding factor were the independents who stayed with McCain when I expected them to go with Obama. helped McCain a bit, and really hurt Obama.