Need to eliminate the big losses

Discussion in 'Journals' started by SteveM, Nov 20, 2017.

  1. I'm sure you know the answer: Stick to your rules no matter what. Especially now that you know that you would be profitable if you just kept your stops.
     
    #141     Feb 19, 2019
  2. SteveM

    SteveM

    Day 3:

    -$320

    Close to daily loss limit being hit, so I am shutting it down for the day.

    1) Enter and honor stops on every trade? YES
    2) Lose no more than $175 on a single trade? NO (Lost -$225 on my first trade of the day)
    3) Stop trading completely and come back tomorrow if I lose $350 during the day? YES
    4) No social media/FinTwit during market hours - complete focus on markets? YES
    5) No impulse/revenge trading? YES
    5) End the day flat - no carrying day trades overnight? YES
    6) Keep detailed trading journal every day? YES

    Score 5/6

    First trade of the day was a reasonable entry - DAX made a beeline 90 point rally in 30 minutes off the open, but then pulled back and I bought above a bull bar looking for trend resumption up. Got stopped out, and the market grinded lower for the next 2 hours erasing the prior move. Seemed unthinkable based upon the strength that it showed on the open, but alas, the market always has a way of surprising, regardless of how strongly it might be doing something at the time. Adding to the frustration, the market came within 8-points of my profit target (which is small when it comes to the DAX points), but because I set my profit target at 1X risk and didn't want to overmanage (like I did yesterday), the target was not reached and then the market reversed lower and stopped me out. Ouch.

    2nd trade of the day was pretty foolish in retrospect. Fading a soft-bull trend with a wide stop during the mid-day lull hours is usually a low probability bet. I think part of the reason I took it is because it was the opposite of what I would normally do, so I figured it might work since my trading results are not going well right now. Well I was wrong about this trade as well.

    Keeping my discipline, which is allowing me to lose less money. But I am still losing regardless. Just going to have to keep pressing forward and stay as objective as possible.
     
    #142     Feb 20, 2019
    tomorton likes this.
  3. SteveM

    SteveM

    Things have been going better for me over the last few days. Occasional lapses, but I am doing better at sticking to my rules. I actually reached out to Linda Raschke, and to my amazement, she got back to me with some useful advice which I am also implementing into my plan.

    FYI, here is a freebie for anyone reading. The VIX made a "Connors VIX reversal" today, which (historically) has lead to short-term bearishness for the S&P 500 over the next few trading days. Obviously, nothing is guarenteed in the markets. Here is Larry's work below on the topic below:

    ConnorsVIX.PNG
    VIXConnors2.PNG
     
    #143     Feb 25, 2019