%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Good points; he may want to to factor in time, as a 2nd factor NEVER a first factor. For example 2000, 2001, 2002 bear market was longer than average; SPY. Amen; that website looks like a good one to avoid.LOL
%%%%%%%%%%%%%% Partly true, i agree in part; but in no way is op, wise in putting time as first factor, unless some one pay$ him by the hour to trade,LOL
Exactly. I noticed for example 15:30 move in ES happens quite often. So you just enter ahead of it and take small hit if it doesn't happen or 1% pump like today.
I'm not at all debating seasonal behavior is some contracts/securities... I'm just saying its silly to blindly purchase based purely on "time". Context is everything
Compare machine learning algorithms on historical data using price, etc. as inputs vs. time, etc. as inputs. Does price, etc. outperform time, etc. on out of sample data? This would be using the ML algorithm as a sort-of advanced 'correlation' comparison function.
or simplay ask, is it better if I buy when it is down 1%, or if I only buy if it is 1% or more down at 15:59? The best example of a time trader is the guy who rebalances his portfolio every year on his birthday. And then it just gets quicker from that.