i see this statement - and variants like it - posted all over ET and i have to admit, i don't get it. pick a random spoos intraday chart from a random number of days ago. pick a random tick on that intraday chart. randomly pick long or short. now follow that trade out. the reality of the market is that 99% of ticks will provide both a profitable short AND a profitable long. how much higher probability are you looking for? you already have what you think you need. the problem isn't finding a way to enter the market - you can enter it anytime you want - the problem is figuruing out how to *exit* the market. anybody - absolutely anybody - can pick successful entry points because almost every entry point has the potential to be a successful entry point. there is no edge in picking entries, none whatsoever. the only edge out there is money management, and the solution to that comes from you as a trader: what are you comfortable risking, holding etc. you have to answer that first.