NBER: U.S. recession officially ended June 2009

Discussion in 'Wall St. News' started by ASusilovic, Sep 20, 2010.

  1. MKTrader

    MKTrader

    I doubt house prices have bottomed. They're nowhere near historical norms. Either they continue falling or have no net movement for years.

    As for GDP, it includes gov't spending. Obviously all the "spendulous" is going to influence it.

    What's disturbing (but seldom mentioned) is that private savings/investment continues to go down while gov't spending grows;

    http://www.independent.org/blog/index.php?p=7882
     
    #11     Sep 20, 2010
  2. S2007S

    S2007S


    They haven't bottomed, and even if they did its only short term meaning we could easily see a rise in housing prices over the next 18-24 months but thereafter see the next collapse in housing take place. They didn't let the free market take housing prices where they should have gone, there has been to much intervention within the housing market and that will lead to more pressure in housing in years to come. As I said earlier housing prices are still way overvalued by at least 25% in most areas.

    GDP is all an illusion, you cannot think there was actual growth over the last 18 months when trillions in stimulus was used, strip out the stimulus and gdp would still be 0%. There is no more organic growth left in this economy, the economy is still too dependent on stimulus and this will be the case for years and years to come.
     
    #12     Sep 20, 2010
  3. False, another interpretation is that the economic engine has a chance to restart, sans the bullshit.

    Akuma
     
    #13     Sep 20, 2010
  4. S2007S

    S2007S

    July 1981-November 1982: 14 months
    July 1990-March 1991: 8 months
    March 2001-November 2001: 8 months
    December 2007-June 2009: 18 months


    Since 1980 there have been only 4 RECESSIONS!

    48/360= approx 13% of the time the US is in a recession.


    The NBER can yell all they want about the recession officially ending in June 2009 but what they dont comprehend is that stimulus created the magical gdp rise over the last 18 months.

    They can say the recession is over but its far from it.
     
    #14     Sep 20, 2010
  5. MKTrader

    MKTrader

    Yeah, like hundreds of millions of stimulus dollars being wasted and going to pork barrel projects, increased taxes supported by ridiculous class warfare demagoguery, etc.

    Oh, wait....
     
    #15     Sep 20, 2010