National Polls - Inside the margin...

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Oct 20, 2020.

  1. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    Did you miss what happened in the last week of 2016? And how the polling changed after the Comey letter with undecideds moving to Trump? Maybe you should research the past before handing out old talking points. Hillary never hit 50% in 2016 and there were lot of undecideds, not to mention that Trump won the electoral college with thinnest of margins.

    Feel free to wait few days, you will eat your words soon enough.
     
    #81     Oct 30, 2020
  2. exGOPer

    exGOPer

    You are like a typical MAGAtard talking point dispenser.
     
    #82     Oct 30, 2020
  3. So, still not able to come up with a substantive response?

    No surprise there.
     
    #83     Oct 30, 2020
    WeToddDid2 likes this.
  4. UsualName

    UsualName

    The problem you’re assuming I have a motive beyond curiosity and interest in polling in this thread. I took statistics in college. Polling is very interesting to me.

    If you look at my posts in this thread they are about math and weighting, randomization etc.

    I support Joe Biden but I do have other interests in political science. Try to understand not everyone is shallow.
     
    #84     Oct 30, 2020
  5. UsualName

    UsualName

    Again, this is not a mental health program. It’s a thread about national polling. What don’t you get about this?
     
    #85     Oct 30, 2020
  6. Into the shiiter you descend.

    This has always been your posting style. You make a post which could be okay as a post. Then you chase it six levels down with drivel. Over and over. Not sure why you do that.

    Whatever.
     
    #86     Oct 30, 2020
  7. jem

    jem

    So here is the question.

    Gallop found that Registered Republicans outnumber Registered democrats.

    Why are most of the polls the polls oversampling democrats by massive amounts?
     
    #87     Oct 30, 2020
  8. UsualName

    UsualName

    You keep saying “oversampling”, what is that supposed to mean?
     
    #88     Oct 30, 2020
  9. Wallet

    Wallet

    Many Democrats have been changing party affiliation over the past 3-4 years here in Oklahoma, now we’re even more skewed to the right. But it’s Oklahoma, I can’t say that’s the case in other parts if the country.
     
    #89     Oct 30, 2020
  10. jem

    jem

    To Usual Name...

    When the polls do their weightings... they choose how many Rs, how many Ds and how many Is to use.

    Gallop said about a month ago the polls which gave biden a big lead
    weighted their polls in a manner in which they might have
    42 Democrats and 38 Rs or more slanted than that..
    I call that over sampling Dems.



    Gallop is finding that in terms of party identification
    that dems and Rs are very close.

    https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
     
    #90     Oct 30, 2020