Oh sorry, my bad, these are from 2010, when Silver's model was very accurate, and Reps LOVED him. Oh well, that was 2 years ago... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fivethirtyeight#2010_U.S._mid-term_elections "The 538 model had forecast a net pickup of 7 seats by the Republicans in the Senate, but the outcome was a pickup of 6 seats." "the Republicans had a net gain of 63 seats in the House, 8 more than the total predicted on election eve though still within the reported confidence interval." "Of the 37 gubernatorial races, FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted the winner of 36."
Dude, who cares? We're going to find out Tuesday. I could give two shits what Nate Silver or Rasmussen think. The only poll that matters is the one on Tuesday.