My Theory On Predicting Long Term Range Breakout

Discussion in 'Forex' started by achilles28, Dec 12, 2005.

  1. ?

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=870478#post870478

     
    #21     Dec 16, 2005
  2. DrChaos

    DrChaos

    The problem with this seems to be that the "fundamentals" which are in trade in the forex are changes in interest rates.

    And people respond to "anticipated" changes, not actual changes, usually.

    This is all just doing trend-following well, right?

    Central banks seem to have alot of serial correlation, so it's not unreasonable.
     
    #22     Dec 16, 2005
  3. achilles28

    achilles28

    Point taken. But I think this little discussion we're throwing around falls more into this category re above:

    "Discussing general market observations is a different idea entirely and something I’m open to. "

    As opposed to getting into nitty gritty specifics about something thats actually proven.
     
    #23     Dec 16, 2005
  4. Is there anybody who could point me to learn some knowledge and skills about computerised backtesting of a trading system that use (quantitative?) "fundamentals" and "a type of fundamental based filters"?

    Your help would be highly appreciated. Thanks in advance!

    PS: My purpose of this backtesting is just for fun (of course you know that), seriously, "As opposed to getting into nitty gritty specifics about something thats actually proven.", that means some important input for the required backtesting will be unknown. :cool:


     
    #24     Dec 16, 2005