my personal thoughts after 20 years of trading

Discussion in 'Trading' started by padutrader, Jun 28, 2018.

  1. ELo

    ELo

    “The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different results.”
    But after 20 years ....
     
    #91     Jun 30, 2018
  2. Pita

    Pita

    now i do like this post.
    trading is not a picture, not even many.

    is it tough? yes
    is it tougher than life? no

    ueselessness is not available, response is.

    trading is easy and money means nothing except for a limit that you are looking for.

    is there a limit? no


    so make some money boys and girls. from home no need to waltz on the street.


    and then?
     
    #92     Jun 30, 2018
    CSEtrader likes this.
  3. motif

    motif

    You have to define what type of day it's going to be. Will it be a range day or a trend day?
     
    #93     Jun 30, 2018
    padutrader and CSEtrader like this.
  4. deaddog

    deaddog

    Over 20 years that works out to a strategy every other day.

    Maybe attention deficit disorder? :)
     
    #94     Jun 30, 2018
  5. treeman

    treeman

    I suspect this is the problem. It really should have been solved years ago.
     
    #95     Jun 30, 2018
  6. 20 years seems to be enough long data, for personal trading logic.

    Let us assume you started with a seed of 100 unit (such as 10K, 100K or 1000K does not matter)

    Overall, 1) if you can say annual 10 percent compounded, then you account should have
    100*1.1^20 = 672.75 units 2) if you annual 20 percent, then
    100*1.2^20 = 3833.76 units. (AFTER EXPENSE)

    On the other hands, if you account is almost broke, then you lost annual -5% compounded (More exactly <= -10% / Note 0.9^20 = 0.1215767 )

    However the expense such as tax and commission is MUCH MORE important.

    Interested in total expense for the last 20 years.
     
    #96     Jul 1, 2018
  7. I agree this totally. 1)Design + 2)Test) + 3)Make System.

    Stock market is (probably) ONLY market which keep the old data for 20 years.
    We can get data (20 years) to backtest and find a profitable trading logic (after tax).
     
    #97     Jul 1, 2018
  8. CSEtrader

    CSEtrader

    #98     Jul 1, 2018
  9. CSEtrader

    CSEtrader

    #99     Jul 1, 2018
  10. padutrader

    padutrader

    no i was concentrating on Brook's book for ten years....i still keep coming back to him.....the rest are worse
     
    #100     Jul 7, 2018