My personal FX pairs and XAUUSD analysis

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Dominic Walsh, Feb 8, 2023.

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  1. EURNZD: Classic Bullish Setup
    EURNZD broke and closed above a neckline of a huge ascending triangle formation on a daily.
    Watch the underlined blue zone carefully. It is a contracting buy zone based on a trend line and a broken neckline.
    I will expect a bullish wave from that.
    Next resistance - 0.728
     
    #31     Feb 20, 2023
  2. USDJPY: Key Levels to Watch This Week
    Here is my fresh structure analysis for ⚠️USDJPY.
    Resistance 1: 134.48 - 135.475 area
    Resistance 2: 137.6 - 138.6 area
    Support 1: 132.6 - 132.9 area
    Support 2: 129.7 - 131.05 area
    Support 3: 127.2 - 128.2 area
    Consider these structures for pullback, breakout trading.
     
    #32     Feb 20, 2023
  3. Dollar Index (#DXY): Your Detailed Trading Plan
    We have spotted earlier a confirmed structure breakout on Dollar Index.
    The market is retesting that at the moment.
    To catch a bullish move from that with a confirmation, watch a double-bottom pattern on the 4H time frame.
    104.05 - 104.09 is its neckline.
    Wait for its bullish breakout; we need a 4H candle close above that to confirm the violation.
    A bullish continuation will be expected then to 104.55.
    If the price sets a new lower low, the setup will become invalid.
     
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    #33     Feb 21, 2023
  4. #CADJPY: Bullish Outlook Explained
    CADJPY broke and closed above a solid horizontal supply zone on a daily.
    The broken structure turned into a demand zone.
    Probabilities are high that a bullish wave will initiate from that.
    The goal for buyers - 101.0
     
    #34     Feb 22, 2023
  5. #NZDJPY: Pullback From Key Level

    NZDJPY is taking off from key support.
    The price formed a double bottom on that and broke its neckline.

    Goals: 84.35 / 84.8
     
    #35     Feb 22, 2023
  6. #USDCAD: Important Breakout
    USDCAD suddenly bounced yesterday.
    The price formed a high momentum bullish candle, breaking a solid horizontal resistance and a primary falling trend line.
    I believe that bulls may push the price much higher now.
    Next goal - 1.366
     
    #36     Feb 22, 2023
  7. DOLLAR INDEX (#DXY) Bullish Continuation
    Update for my yesterday's post on Dollar Index.
    The market successfully broke the neckline of a triple bottom pattern on 4H.
    We see a positive bullish reaction after a retest.
    A bullish continuation is expected now to 104.56 / 104.95
     
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    #37     Feb 22, 2023
  8. [Here’s why you need proper risk management in trading]
    Imagine:
    There are two traders, John and Sally.
    They both start with a $1,000 account
    John is an aggressive trader and he risks $250 on each trade.
    Sally is a conservative trader and she risks $20 on each trade.
    Both adopt a trading strategy that wins 50% of the time with an average of 1:2 risk to reward.
    Over the next 8 trades, the outcomes are Lose Lose Lose Lose Win Win Win Win.
    Here’s the outcome for John:
    -$250 -$250 -$250 -$250 = BLOW UP
    Here’s the outcome for Sally:
    -$20 -$20 -$20 -$20 +$40 +$40 +$40 +$40 = +$80
    Do you see the power of risk management?
    So here’s the deal:
    As a trader, you’ll encounter losses regularly.
    But with proper risk management, you can contain these losses till it feels like an “ant bite”.
     
    #38     Feb 23, 2023
  9. GOLD (#XAUUSD): Update & The Thing to Watch
    The market keeps coiling on a critical daily horizontal support.
    Analyzing a 4H time frame, I spotted a potential inverted head & shoulders pattern.
    The price has already completed the left shoulder and the head and currently, it is forming the right shoulder.
    1842 - 1850 is its horizontal neckline.
    The trigger to buy Gold will be its bullish breakout (4h candle close above).
    A bullish continuation will be expected to 1866 / 1879 levels then.
    If the price sets a new low, the pattern will become invalid though.
     
    #39     Feb 23, 2023
  10. #CADJPY: Pullback From Key Level
    CADJPY reached a solid horizontal key level yesterday.
    The price formed an inverted head & shoulders pattern on that on 1H time frame.
    Its neckline was broken then.
    I expect a bullish move to 100.0 / 100.25
     
    #40     Feb 23, 2023
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