My personal FX pairs and XAUUSD analysis

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Dominic Walsh, Feb 8, 2023.

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  1. SunTrader

    SunTrader

    XAUEUR Spot also has been breaking down:-
    ! XAUEUR.png
     
    #21     Feb 15, 2023
    Dominic Walsh likes this.
  2. #EURUSD: Waiting For a Breakout
    After a strong bearish movement, the pair is consolidating within a narrow horizontal trading range.
    1.065 - 1.068 is its support.
    I am waiting for its breakout (daily candle close below) to be short.
    The pair will most likely drop then.
    The goal will be 1.053
     
    #22     Feb 15, 2023
  3. #EURJPY: Important Breakout



    EURJPY finally broke and closed above a major horizontal resistance cluster on a daily.

    The broken structure turned into a key support now.



    I will expect a bullish continuation to 145.0 / 146.3 levels.

    Pivot Point Indicator
     
    #23     Feb 16, 2023
  4. #AUDNZD: Classic Structure-Based Trade



    AUDNZD reached a wide horizontal demand area.
    The price formed a double top on that.
    Its neckline has just been broken.

    I expect a pullback to 1.101 / 1.102
     
    #24     Feb 16, 2023
  5. [Consistent actions lead to consistent results]
    I remembered my first trading system.
    It was a Bollinger Band mean reversion strategy.
    You buy when the price is at the lower band and sell when it’s at the upper band.
    The first few trades I did were winners, then the losses came and I figured this trading strategy doesn’t work.
    So, I moved on.
    Next, I chanced upon harmonic patterns.
    I spent half a year learning how to draw these patterns (guess I’m a slower learner).
    At the start, I had some wins but slowly, the losses kicked in and eroded all my profits.
    Again, I told myself…
    “This trading strategy doesn’t work. Let’s try something else.”
    This brought me to the world of price action trading, support and resistance, candlestick patterns, etc.
    Again, the same pattern repeated itself.
    I had some winners, some losers, and I gave up the strategy.
    One day, I asked myself…
    “Why does this always happen?”
    “Why am I not getting any consistency in my trading?”
    “It’s always a few winners and then the losses pile up and take everything away.”
    Do you know what I realized?
    The problem was me.
    I was hopping from one trading strategy to the next.
    My actions were inconsistent. And because my actions were inconsistent, I got inconsistent results (duh).
    So, don’t make my mistakes.
    If you want consistent results from trading, you must have consistent actions.
    Stick to one trading strategy, master it—and then move on.
     
    #25     Feb 16, 2023
    BKR88 likes this.
  6. #GBPCAD: Classic Bullish Reversal
    GBPCAD reached a key daily structure support.
    The price formed a head & shoulders pattern on that
    and broke its neckline, then.
    I expect a pullback to 1.6165 / 1.62
     
    #26     Feb 16, 2023
  7. #EURCAD: Bearish Outlook Explained

    EURCAD is approaching a solid horizontal resistance cluster.
    The price formed a double top, testing that.
    Its neckline was broken then.

    I expect a bearish move to 1.4333 / 1.4319 levels now.
     
    #27     Feb 17, 2023
  8. Dollar Index (#DXY): Important Breakout
    So the range, that we spotted earlier on Dollar Index, is finally broken.
    The market successfully closed above that on a daily.
    Now a further bullish continuation is expected.
    Next target - 105.1
     
    • DXY.jpg
      DXY.jpg
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    #28     Feb 17, 2023
  9. #CADJPY: Bullish Outlook Explained
    CADJPY broke and closed above a wide horizontal supply zone on a daily.
    The broken structure turned into a demand zone now.
    Probabilities will be high that the price will bounce from that.
    Next resistance - 100.95
     
    #29     Feb 17, 2023
  10. Gold (#XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week
    ⚠️Gold reached a solid horizontal key level this week.
    The price formed a doji candle on that on Thursday and then a rejection candle was formed.
    We see the attempt of buyers to push.
    To catch a pullback, watch a falling parallel channel and a minor horizontal supply zone.
    I would suggest waiting for a bullish breakout of these 2. It will most likely trigger the initiation of a correctional movement.
    Let 4h candle close above the trend line and a yellow area to confirm the breakout.
    Goal will be 1866.
    I will monitor this trading setup and post an update later on.
     
    #30     Feb 20, 2023
    BKR88 likes this.
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