My Options Play

Discussion in 'Options' started by Multioption, Oct 3, 2005.

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  1. Should we leave you out since you are uninvited?
     
    #501     Nov 1, 2005
  2. cnms2

    cnms2

    Thanks. Good trading!
     
    #502     Nov 1, 2005
  3. I was contracted to deviate from the thread purpose and expose underlying price movement. Local #111
     
    #503     Nov 1, 2005
  4. hajimow

    hajimow

    An advice to Multioption:
    There is no need to say this because you already know that but don't be under pressure to do a trade if you don't feel like it. Just wait. Trading is like fishing, sometimes you have to wait for a long time. Many people lose money because they trade a lot !!. You are doing a superb job. I don't do your trades but I like to know how the other traders do. After your loss in BBY you have become more cautious that makes complete sense.
     
    #504     Nov 1, 2005
  5. hajimow

    hajimow

    A rather safe trade for less than 3 weeks time frame with about 20% gain !!

    I am heavily invested in XLNX, TXN , and INTC options and don't have more money to trade more but I will do it for 5 contracts tomorrow. I am doing this on XLNX because I am following the stock and I think I know its pattern and I feel that it has bottomed and there is a good chance that it might hit 25 by November option expiry date. Now the stock is at about 23.50.
    The trade is to buy CALL 20 and sell Call 22.5. Both in the money. The ideal case will be the stock stays above 22.5 on option expiry date. Anything above 22.5 will take us to the safe side but will not increase the profit.
    BID/ASK for Call 20 is 340/370 Last 3.50
    BID/ASK for Call 22.5 is 1.39/1.45. Last 1.35

    Put a multi leg order with 1/1 ratio with a debit of 2.1. You will get 40 cents in 3 weeks which is about 20%. You will start to lose money if the stock goes below 22.1. Tell me what you think about this. You can play the same strategy on your own favorite stock if you are not comfortable with XLNX.
     
    #505     Nov 1, 2005
  6. novel20

    novel20

    hajimow,

    If you feel really confident about XLNX hitting 25 before expiry, just buy XLNX Nov 20 calls, or even Nov 22.5 calls. Much better reward. Your 40 cents profit doing spread would get eaten up by at least one half due to the bid/ask spread.
     
    #506     Nov 1, 2005
  7. hajimow

    hajimow

    If you feel really confident about XLNX hitting 25 before expiry, just buy XLNX Nov 20 calls, or even Nov 22.5 calls. Much better reward. Your 40 cents profit doing spread would get eaten up by at least one half due to the bid/ask spread.

    XLNX was trading around 28 till they came up with a warning 3 weeks ago and their stock tumbled about 20% and then their result came out 10 days ago and their result was pretty good and the warning was actually nothing. I have 62 contracts naked PUT 25 for Jan 2006 and I am also selling Call 27.5 for December to match the contracts. You see that I am heavily into XLNX so I don't want to increase the risk and want to do a safer trade. When I put that multi leg order, I don'tcare how much I buy each leg, I just pay them $2.1. I also pay 0.75 for each contract and if both legs get excercised on option expiry date, I don't pay any commission for option excercise . My broker is IB. So I will get $40-1.5=$38.5 for each $210 I invest.
     
    #507     Nov 1, 2005
  8. hajimow

    hajimow

    to novel20.

    I am almost confident but .... anything might happen so you should be prepared. So my suggestion is that if anyone likes my idea, should try to find 4 stocks and split his money into 4 and do it on 4 different stocks because shit happens:)
     
    #508     Nov 1, 2005
  9. cnms2

    cnms2

    Do you mean you're short 62 ctr. 25 Jan06 puts?
     
    #509     Nov 2, 2005
  10. And of course the near disaster with PEET, which leaves just one clear winner (CHS) in a month. During any month options, both calls and puts, on major stocks are making 100% + gains on a regular basis. AAPL, DIA, FDG, GOOG, DELL, BBH, etc.

    Multi claims to have some sort of system working for him, but after a month the results have been the sh!ts. :(
     
    #510     Nov 2, 2005
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