My Options Play

Discussion in 'Options' started by Multioption, Oct 3, 2005.

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  1. Did you and Coolweb go to band camp together or something that you can pick up on this? Keep guessing. Just don't use too much of your deductive reasoning in one shot. I know how tired you are of constantly pointing out the obvious. Do you want Multioption to give you his lunch money or something? You keep haggling the guy like you know him.
     
    #431     Oct 31, 2005
  2. Hello Coolweb :)
     
    #432     Oct 31, 2005
  3. mhashe

    mhashe


    Most techs have been beaten to pulp. They're due for a bounce. Might add PMCS to your list.

    I don't trade options or stocks for that matter as standard fair, but this thread has perked a few ideas I had in the back of my mind for quite some time now. Has anyone toyed with the idea of playing with LEAPs in stocks with high short interest?

    I noticed quite a few here are chart readers above par. I think there is something there if you are able to see the signs of tell-tale accumulation in highly shorted stocks. I'd like to create a list of stocks that have the highest recent short interest ratio. Maybe someone who has access to such a list can post it in excel format. We can discuss the ones with the most promising reversal signatures and see how it works out. I'm not aware of a public source of such a list (I think nasdaq charges $200/ download). If there is one, please post the link.

    Other than that I will also start posting a few stocks that I feel show signs of reversal based on my own scans. This should be interesting and very educational at least for me.

    Edit: btw Mr. uninvited_guest, your posts are rather assenine, highly disruptive and extremely uninformative chaff. You might want to take this thread originators advice, leave this one for those who are serious and please start your own thread. Unless offcourse this is the only means by which you are able to garner attention in your life.
     
    #433     Oct 31, 2005
  4. Hey, here's a good call for you. Eat shit and die! :D How's that for anger?

    I only have one handle b/c i'm not afraid to live with myself and my words posted here. Any suggestions otherwise are yours to ponder. The fact that you have time to annoy other members is your fate. Live with it. I can live with you here. You're harmless. Like a doorman.
     
    #434     Oct 31, 2005
  5. cnms2

    cnms2

    :)
    Thanks. I was trading with real money for the past 12 years, but I'm still constantly looking for new ideas. This is the reason I'm on this forum: to exchange ideas, not for the reality-based entertainment (which I generally dislike).

    I'm willing to share my knowledge, and willing to accept critique for my ideas.
     
    #435     Oct 31, 2005
  6. hajimow

    hajimow

    Most techs have been beaten to pulp. They're due for a bounce. Might add PMCS to your list.

    I don't trade options or stocks for that matter as standard fair, but this thread has perked a few ideas I had in the back of my mind for quite some time now. Has anyone toyed with the idea of playing with LEAPs in stocks with high short interest?

    I noticed quite a few here are chart readers above par. I think there is something there if you are able to see the signs of tell-tale accumulation in highly shorted stocks. I'd like to create a list of stocks that have the highest recent short interest ratio. Maybe someone who has access to such a list can post it in excel format. We can discuss the ones with the most promising reversal signatures and see how it works out. I'm not aware of a public source of such a list (I think nasdaq charges $200/ download). If there is one, please post the link.

    Other than that I will also start posting a few stocks that I feel show signs of reversal based on my own scans. This should be interesting and very educational at least for me.

    Edit: btw Mr. uninvited_guest, your posts are rather assenine, highly disruptive and extremely uninformative chaff. You might want to take this thread originators advice, leave this one for those who are serious and please start your own thread. Unless offcourse this is the only means by which you are able to garner attention in your life.


    I have traded PMCS a while ago.My friend was just reacently trading it. Today it had a good comeback. The good thing about ADI and XLNX is that both companies have no debt and ADI have been profitable with no quarter in loss. It does not mean that it will go to the moon.I will short it if it hits $41.

    Trading on Leap has one problem. Bid and ask spreads are usually 20 cents. It does not move well with the stock. Heavily shorted stock rarely come back.I mean don't make it a rule that they should come back. TZOO, OSTK are two of them. Some heavily shorted stocks don't have options.
     
    #436     Oct 31, 2005
  7. cnms2

    cnms2

    I've traded a lot of LEAPS for awhile, but I rarely do it anymore. There are people promoting them as a stock surrogate, praising their low theta (daily value erosion).

    They have some specific risks and drawbacks. The first ones that cross my mind are:
    - they are rich in premium making them very susceptible to IV adverse changes (IV decrease when you're long, or IV increase when you're short); this is the vega risk
    - they have a higher IV than shorter term options (higher probability for wider range variation); this gradually decreases over their life
    - they can be adversely affected by dividend and interest rate changes, and there is a higher chance for it to happen over a longer period
    - they have high slippage, and lower liquidity
    - you can lose a lot of premium in case of takeover or bankruptcy
    - as the underlying price varies over the long life of the LEAPS, you'll have to roll them to adjust your risk and to re-tune your position to the new underlying price range; this is an additional expense due to the high slippage; i.e. you open a calendar having an ITM LEAP for the long leg; as the underlying price changes your LEAP will go more ITM or may go OTM, so in the following months to continue your strategy you'll have to roll it to rebuild the risk characteristic required by your strategy.

    I can't really think of any instance in which LEAPS offer any advantage to the retail trader.
     
    #437     Oct 31, 2005
  8. novel20

    novel20

    Multioption, I am looking forward to your option trades. I am used to daytrading options, but I am also very interested in learning how to swing trade them.
     
    #438     Oct 31, 2005
  9. PMCS

    should make a higher high than oct31st high on Nov 1 tommorrow
     
    #439     Oct 31, 2005
  10. ADI should make a lower low than Oct 31st low tomm on Nov.1
     
    #440     Oct 31, 2005
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