My Options Play

Discussion in 'Options' started by Multioption, Oct 3, 2005.

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  1. hajimow

    hajimow

    you sure you want to be short gap and gamma going into the holiday season?
    What do you mean? Do you think market will go up in 3 weeks or down? I mean in the holiday season.
     
    #1101     Nov 28, 2005
  2. sle

    sle

    I'd not venture a guess which way it's going to go.

    Historically, gamma is allways cheap across year-end, as there is a lot of willing sellers. At the same time, it is the time of major announcements and various other vol-inducing events.
     
    #1102     Nov 28, 2005
  3. hajimow

    hajimow

    I'd not venture a guess which way it's going to go.

    Historically, gamma is allways cheap across year-end, as there is a lot of willing sellers. At the same time, it is the time of major announcements and various other vol-inducing events.


    I think everyone is guessing (speculating) when he enters a trade. I don't believe short term (daily or hourly) speculation is easier than longer term speculation. Since I am one of those traders that does not have a good taste in short term guessing, I trade on options. I had already sold naked Call for ADI 40. I sold PUT 35 today. I don't know where ADI will be tomorrow but I am willing to buy it at 35 and short it at 40. That is why I had those trades. All my trades are like that. I have 21 positions open as of today and my portfolio is up 21.34% this month. I had one losing month this year and that was October.
     
    #1103     Nov 28, 2005
  4. cnms2

    cnms2

    I don't want to scare you (too much :)) but did you calculate what your positions will do if all your underlyings move against you 3, 4 or 5 sigma? Small probability doesn't mean impossible ...
     
    #1104     Nov 28, 2005
  5. hajimow

    hajimow

    I don't want to scare you (too much ) but did you calculate what your positions will do if all your underlyings move against you 3, 4 or 5 sigma? Small probability doesn't mean impossible ...

    You ARE scaring me. Seriously. stop it. Ok I won't short anymore.deal?

    :(
     
    #1105     Nov 28, 2005
  6. hajimow

    hajimow

    to cnm2:

    Did you read the book that I recommended? If not, shame on you.:eek:
     
    #1106     Nov 28, 2005
  7. cnms2

    cnms2

    You guessed right: I haven't. Mea culpa ... :(
     
    #1107     Nov 28, 2005
  8. hajimow

    hajimow

    I just finished it. It was a great book. I learned a lot. It does not use your brian.It is like a story.
     
    #1108     Nov 28, 2005
  9. sle

    sle

    If you are saying that you are have fundamental opinions on the underlying, you should be trading the underlying. The point of trading in the options is that you can express directionless opinions and the actual traded asset is the volatility of the underlying.

    You are hoping that ADI (whatever that is, I don't deal in equities) will stay in place and in a pretty narrow range (5 bucks).

    In other words, you are a seller of gamma, mainly in the form of strangles. What is your "disaster" plan? Are you delta-hedging or you actually have enough capital to handle an asignment on all of your positions at the same time?
     
    #1109     Nov 28, 2005
  10. To CNMS2 - I bought that options "bible" and what a book! It just arrived in the mail and now I see why it cost $105. It'll be a while before I finish it if I don't skip all over the place in it. Thanks for the rec.
     
    #1110     Nov 29, 2005
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