My nq price action method

Discussion in 'Journals' started by slugar, Sep 1, 2013.

  1. Thanks
    Have a good weekend RN and all.

    Gabe
     
    #681     May 23, 2014
  2. Redneck

    Redneck

    Gabe

    Now the dust somewhat settled.., allow me to talk out of both sides of my mouth

    Unless price is making an all time new H or L – it is essentially in a range

    Which means – price is simultaneously moving up…, down…, sideways – nearly always


    Literally.., I can take most any chart…, and make a valid case for going long…, or going short… or standing pat

    And be profitable

    So… other than I'm bat shit crazy – what does that say….


    One needs to thoroughly define how they trade…, identify the TF and signal(s) they will trade… create a plan for each trade – stick to all of it – and apply it consistently..., methodically..., and repeatedly


    Yes.., you are absolutely correct…

    A valid case could have been made for going long…, or short…, or standing pat - on that chart you posted

    Iow…, there are several ways of entering a trade in that area…, and not all trades will be exactly at the same place - or for that matter - even in the same direction - yet all perfectly valid

    ================

    What I was being cautious of (and continually must be)

    Slugar has created his way (methodology / approach) – hence I must remain within those boundaries as I provide feedback…

    Otherwise I am doing nothing but undermining him.., and his way of trading



    It the same for all of us – we must stick a stake in the ground – build a complete system of how we trade around that stake – stick to it – while consistently…, methodically…, and repeatedly – applying it


    Perfect example…

    I’m hangin out with both Slugar and Jas as they work to solidify their approaches…, iron out the intricacies…, build their mental dexterity and fortitude


    Both trade NQ… both see / trade the same PA – yet their approaches are more dissimilar than alike

    They see / take different signals… and trade it differently

    Yet.., both their approaches are perfectly valid


    I come from an engineering background – so I appreciate seeing / thinking in black & white

    When starting this journey however – that is truly a hindrance (as it blinds us from the vastness of possibilities and potentials)


    But once completed – reverting back to viewing this in black and white – is the only way (so it inclusive of all the possibilities and potentials)



    Hope this serves to help…, more than confuse Sir

    RN
     
    #682     May 25, 2014
  3. slugar

    slugar

    thanks for your input RN! My platform is working again so I will post my Thursday and Friday charts today.
     
    #683     May 25, 2014
  4. slugar

    slugar

    Thursday 500 tick trades.
    1. Long on a double bottom and a higher low at 3638.25 stop 3634.75 target pre market swing high of 3645.
    2. Higher low long above support at 3636.75 stop 3634.25 target last swing high 3645.
    3.Long above resistance that is now support at 3649.50 stop is 3647 and target is breach of up move trend line.
     
    #684     May 25, 2014
  5. slugar

    slugar

    Friday 500 tick trades.
    1. Short on a lower high double top at 3652.50 stop at 3655.25 target breach of down move trend line.
    2.long on resistance that is now support at 3657 stop at 3655 target breach of up move trend line that did not happen until around 3674
     
    #685     May 25, 2014
  6. Redneck

    Redneck


    =====================================


    Overall / General comments;

    The trade plans look a lot more uniform – makes for consistent trading..., and results


    One sure fire way to tell price is in a range – 2 or more of the successful trades are nearly identical


    Trade 1.
    Long on a double bottom and a higher low at 3638.25
    stop 3634.75
    target pre market swing high of 3645.


    Trade 2.
    Higher low long above support at 3636.75
    stop 3634.25
    target last swing high 3645

    Can’t get much closer that these two


    Both H... and D are solid


    =======================

    Trade 1.
    Long on a double bottom and a higher low at 3638.25
    stop 3634.75
    target pre market swing high of 3645.

    Comment

    I lined out the DBs around this trade – just as an interesting observation

    Entry – Solid
    Stop – Solid
    Target – Solid


    Trade 2.
    Higher low long above support at 3636.75
    stop 3634.25
    target last swing high 3645.


    Comment

    The first trade solid – makes sense this one is also

    Entry – Solid
    Stop – Solid
    Target – Solid


    Trade 3.
    Long above resistance that is now support at 3649.50
    stop is 3647
    target is breach of up move trend line.

    Comment

    Thinking you modified the management to account for that pesky range (zone) above – Way to roll with it !!!

    Entry – Solid
    Stop – Solid
    Target – Solid

    =============

    You've definitely come a long way

    RN
     
    #686     May 25, 2014
  7. Redneck

    Redneck

    Overall / General comments;

    Once again the H&D are golden



    Trade 1.
    Short on a lower high double top at 3652.50
    stop at 3655.25
    target breach of down move trend line.

    Comment

    Entry – Solid
    Stop – Solid
    Target – Solid



    Trade 2.
    long on resistance that is now support at 3657
    stop at 3655
    target breach of up move trend line that did not happen until around 3674

    Comment
    This is the trade that just keeps on giving – love those :p

    Here’s an observation on the gamesmanship that goes on

    I highlighted a range

    Price had a Failed BOU
    Then PB to the 50% level of the range (which just happened to coincide with the UMTL
    Then continued on up

    Now a person would have to be really daft to think all that is simply happenstance

    Or…, that after breaking out – sellers purposefully stepped in and drove price back down to the 50% level – then mysteriously gave up

    And while the sellers doing this – buyers were simply sitting with their thumbs up their butt watching


    Really doesn’t pass the sniff test imo

    ========================

    Oth hand

    How many short stops triggered / eager longs entered – when price BO

    Good way for the boys to sell some… and take profit


    Then how many eager longs exited – once the BO immediately failed

    Good way for the boys to reenter…, at a lower price…, and go along for another ride


    Meanwhile..., and as price begins moving on up.., after this little melee..., there sit the ones recently burned – wondering wtf just happened


    ==================

    Entry – Solid
    Stop – Solid
    Target – Solid


    Gotta love the games

    RN
     
    #687     May 25, 2014
  8. We are on the same page.
    I think.

    Thanks

    Gabe
     
    #688     May 25, 2014
  9. Redneck

    Redneck

    The 4000 lb elephant in the room – that no one…, other than traders…, speak of

    RISK

    It not only exists with each trade – it is systemic – and permeates every nook and cranny of trading

    Never turn a blind eye toward it Slugar…, and never allow yourself to become complacent… or underestimate it – while in its presence (which is every time you’ve a position on)

    ==============

    I think many are reluctant to discuss risk – as it brings to light our frailties…, our vulnerabilities…, our potential to fail

    For that matter it forces us to face the reality that we could fail

    =======================

    We can’t have an ego…, and respect risk my friend

    Neither can we ever take it lightly



    Respect it…, get comfortable with it…,learn to manage it – in all its forms (there are many)

    RN
     
    #689     May 27, 2014
  10. deaddog

    deaddog

    How do you define RISK?

    My definition is the amount of my capital I can lose on any one trade.

    Big losses come from not taking small losses.
     
    #690     May 27, 2014