Gabe Now the dust somewhat settled.., allow me to talk out of both sides of my mouth Unless price is making an all time new H or L â it is essentially in a range Which means â price is simultaneously moving upâ¦, downâ¦, sideways â nearly always Literally.., I can take most any chartâ¦, and make a valid case for going longâ¦, or going short⦠or standing pat And be profitable So⦠other than I'm bat shit crazy â what does that sayâ¦. One needs to thoroughly define how they tradeâ¦, identify the TF and signal(s) they will trade⦠create a plan for each trade â stick to all of it â and apply it consistently..., methodically..., and repeatedly Yes.., you are absolutely correct⦠A valid case could have been made for going longâ¦, or shortâ¦, or standing pat - on that chart you posted Iowâ¦, there are several ways of entering a trade in that areaâ¦, and not all trades will be exactly at the same place - or for that matter - even in the same direction - yet all perfectly valid ================ What I was being cautious of (and continually must be) Slugar has created his way (methodology / approach) â hence I must remain within those boundaries as I provide feedback⦠Otherwise I am doing nothing but undermining him.., and his way of trading It the same for all of us â we must stick a stake in the ground â build a complete system of how we trade around that stake â stick to it â while consistentlyâ¦, methodicallyâ¦, and repeatedly â applying it Perfect example⦠Iâm hangin out with both Slugar and Jas as they work to solidify their approachesâ¦, iron out the intricaciesâ¦, build their mental dexterity and fortitude Both trade NQ⦠both see / trade the same PA â yet their approaches are more dissimilar than alike They see / take different signals⦠and trade it differently Yet.., both their approaches are perfectly valid I come from an engineering background â so I appreciate seeing / thinking in black & white When starting this journey however â that is truly a hindrance (as it blinds us from the vastness of possibilities and potentials) But once completed â reverting back to viewing this in black and white â is the only way (so it inclusive of all the possibilities and potentials) Hope this serves to helpâ¦, more than confuse Sir RN
thanks for your input RN! My platform is working again so I will post my Thursday and Friday charts today.
Thursday 500 tick trades. 1. Long on a double bottom and a higher low at 3638.25 stop 3634.75 target pre market swing high of 3645. 2. Higher low long above support at 3636.75 stop 3634.25 target last swing high 3645. 3.Long above resistance that is now support at 3649.50 stop is 3647 and target is breach of up move trend line.
Friday 500 tick trades. 1. Short on a lower high double top at 3652.50 stop at 3655.25 target breach of down move trend line. 2.long on resistance that is now support at 3657 stop at 3655 target breach of up move trend line that did not happen until around 3674
===================================== Overall / General comments; The trade plans look a lot more uniform â makes for consistent trading..., and results One sure fire way to tell price is in a range â 2 or more of the successful trades are nearly identical Trade 1. Long on a double bottom and a higher low at 3638.25 stop 3634.75 target pre market swing high of 3645. Trade 2. Higher low long above support at 3636.75 stop 3634.25 target last swing high 3645 Canât get much closer that these two Both H... and D are solid ======================= Trade 1. Long on a double bottom and a higher low at 3638.25 stop 3634.75 target pre market swing high of 3645. Comment I lined out the DBs around this trade â just as an interesting observation Entry â Solid Stop â Solid Target â Solid Trade 2. Higher low long above support at 3636.75 stop 3634.25 target last swing high 3645. Comment The first trade solid â makes sense this one is also Entry â Solid Stop â Solid Target â Solid Trade 3. Long above resistance that is now support at 3649.50 stop is 3647 target is breach of up move trend line. Comment Thinking you modified the management to account for that pesky range (zone) above â Way to roll with it !!! Entry â Solid Stop â Solid Target â Solid ============= You've definitely come a long way RN
Overall / General comments; Once again the H&D are golden Trade 1. Short on a lower high double top at 3652.50 stop at 3655.25 target breach of down move trend line. Comment Entry â Solid Stop â Solid Target â Solid Trade 2. long on resistance that is now support at 3657 stop at 3655 target breach of up move trend line that did not happen until around 3674 Comment This is the trade that just keeps on giving â love those Hereâs an observation on the gamesmanship that goes on I highlighted a range Price had a Failed BOU Then PB to the 50% level of the range (which just happened to coincide with the UMTL Then continued on up Now a person would have to be really daft to think all that is simply happenstance Orâ¦, that after breaking out â sellers purposefully stepped in and drove price back down to the 50% level â then mysteriously gave up And while the sellers doing this â buyers were simply sitting with their thumbs up their butt watching Really doesnât pass the sniff test imo ======================== Oth hand How many short stops triggered / eager longs entered â when price BO Good way for the boys to sell some⦠and take profit Then how many eager longs exited â once the BO immediately failed Good way for the boys to reenterâ¦, at a lower priceâ¦, and go along for another ride Meanwhile..., and as price begins moving on up.., after this little melee..., there sit the ones recently burned â wondering wtf just happened ================== Entry â Solid Stop â Solid Target â Solid Gotta love the games RN
The 4000 lb elephant in the room â that no oneâ¦, other than tradersâ¦, speak of RISK It not only exists with each trade â it is systemic â and permeates every nook and cranny of trading Never turn a blind eye toward it Slugarâ¦, and never allow yourself to become complacent⦠or underestimate it â while in its presence (which is every time youâve a position on) ============== I think many are reluctant to discuss risk â as it brings to light our frailtiesâ¦, our vulnerabilitiesâ¦, our potential to fail For that matter it forces us to face the reality that we could fail ======================= We canât have an egoâ¦, and respect risk my friend Neither can we ever take it lightly Respect itâ¦, get comfortable with itâ¦,learn to manage it â in all its forms (there are many) RN
How do you define RISK? My definition is the amount of my capital I can lose on any one trade. Big losses come from not taking small losses.