My last $150

Discussion in 'Forex' started by iamnewuser911, Aug 5, 2015.

  1. Ok, here's what to do-- listen carefully.

    Open up an account at www.nadex.com.

    Wait for a series of 3 down days in the DJIA -- wed, thursday, friday are the days with each day being down.

    On Monday, purchase 14 weekly call contracts at $10.00 each 200 plus points out of the money. Your bet is the DJIA emini futures will climb 200 plus points by the close 415 on friday. If you guess right , your 150 is now $1400--- or you can double triple or whatever should we get just a single spike higher prior to a sharp move lower if you dont want to risk a 10 bagger.

    Good luck!
     
    #31     Aug 5, 2015
  2. Markos22

    Markos22

    you started with just 400? small money, man. I've been there and done that many times. live and learn. good luck to you
     
    #32     Aug 5, 2015
  3. Why don't you just tell him to go to the horse races if that's your attitude
     
    #33     Aug 5, 2015
    kut2k2 likes this.
  4. Im sorry you feel that way. The market is biased to bounce after being down. No such bias exists in horse racing or roullette. Plus you can trade out of nadex binaries at any

    Totally different. There's an edge to going long after 3 down days.
     
    Last edited: Aug 5, 2015
    #34     Aug 5, 2015
    Visaria likes this.
  5. Thanks all for the replies.
     
    #35     Aug 6, 2015
  6. Mtrader

    Mtrader

    Or after 4 days, or after 5 days, or after 6 days....
    Or after a full moon... Or when the sun is shining because then people become more optimstic.
     
    #36     Aug 6, 2015
    wwatson1 likes this.
  7. Do the testing and see for yourself.
     
    #37     Aug 6, 2015
  8. Mtrader

    Mtrader

    for the period 5/10/2010 till today this is what happens:

    upload_2015-8-6_19-14-49.png

    I favoured your system by supposing that you get in at the low of the day, which is impossible. So real performance will be even worse then what I calculated.
    Almost 92% trades that will not reach 200 points, so no profit.
    Your average profit should be 11 times bigger than your average loss, and then you should still deduct commissions, slippage ....
    Not really a performing system if you can only guess 8,38% of the time the good direction. Random choosing or gambling will be much better.

    If I take as entry (HIGH+LOW)/2, you have almost 95% losers and average profit should be 17 times bigger than average loss, and then you should still deduct commissions, slippage .....
     
    #38     Aug 6, 2015
    wwatson1 and kut2k2 like this.
  9. EPrado

    EPrado

    Maybe Surf should try your full moon idea? I have to say that the sun is shining one might not work (although perhaps better than his 92% losing idea). The way I see it if the market has been down 3 days in a row and now the sun is shining those people will want to go out and enjoy the nice weather after losing their $ for 3 days. But...if after 3 down days it's raining out those people will be forced to stay in and watch the market. At that point they will have had enough and sell more.

    Nice work though obliterating his hilarious 3 day rule.
     
    #39     Aug 6, 2015
    kut2k2 likes this.
  10. It was just a suggestion-- it could work and with $150.00 it would be tough for the guy to find a better risk/reward scenario. Did you make that donation yet? Why not ask your buddy atticus how fast marketsurfer pays his losing bets.

    surf
     
    #40     Aug 6, 2015