Dow weekend otc cfd now - 150. 38% is shockingly high... Wtf. Makes Bernie a clear favourit over Trump if he is nominated...
As a side note, the volumes in these contracts are statistically significant. For example, democratic nomination traded 500k on Friday. It’s tempting to get involved somehow. ps. I owe you dinner
Where do you see that? PS. Actually, conditional on his nomination, the probability of him becoming a president is roughly the same as before (~60%)
As far as i can See they adapt prices to news but even more to trader activity against them. If you go long they raise the indication. If vola is too high they widen the spread, i have Seen it at 30pts for Dow. Since the quotes are based on (losing) retail cfd trader, they obv may or may not be that good an indication for Futures late sunday. But they give a good idea of retail Sentiment based on weekend news.