My amzn & Google naked put sell is In deep red . How to play it on Monday to recover the loss.

He’s going to be in a lot more pain come Monday morning.

 

You think we are due for more pain tomorrow?

 

Not my area of expertise...but I'd guess tommorow is bullish, given Bernie won in Nevada....those big smart money boys on wallstreet love Bernie as the nominee

 

Oh yes.

 

I think most people I know in pro finance feel that Bernie is bearish for both the equity markets and for the bond markets.

because of the tape bombs about China/Corona?

 

I agree, he's bearish if he actually became president. But i don't think anyone that is rational thinks he win the general....which means trump would, and the street loves don john

 

lol. You trade for a living?

The pendulum swings both ways.

 

I have not looked at the prediction market lately, but last I checked the conditional probabilities were such that if Bernie is nominated as the Democratic candidate, he has higher than 50% chances of winning against Trump.

I think it was something like
25% chance of next president being Bernie
40% chance of Bernie being nominated
So conditional probably comes out to 60ish% “if Bernie is nominated, he becomes president”

 

was naive of me to wait until super Tuesday it apppears

 

Can you please run that by me one more time, I am not too quick. 25% and 40%, how does that equate 60% of become president?